St Kilda v Hawthorn

Marvel Stadium

74

69

Match complete
St Kilda won by 5 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
65% 15 points 20.2-0.53
Hawthorn
78% 28 points 33.0-1.20
Hawthorn
71% 22 points 27.0-0.79
Hawthorn
71% 17 points 22.0-0.80
Hawthorn
70% 26 points 31.0-0.74
Hawthorn
68% 17 points 22.0-0.64
Hawthorn
67% 19 points 24.0-0.60
Hawthorn
66% 14 points 19.0-0.56
Hawthorn
66% 14 points 19.0-0.57
Hawthorn
65% 13 points 18.0-0.50
Hawthorn
64% 18 points 22.6-0.49
Punters
Hawthorn
63% 13 points 18.2-0.44
Hawthorn
62% 15 points 19.9-0.40
Hawthorn
60% 9 points 14.0-0.31
Hawthorn
59% 5 points 10.0-0.29
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 13.4-0.26
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 10.8-0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019