St Kilda v Hawthorn

Marvel Stadium

74

69

Match complete
St Kilda won by 5 points

IN
Paton
Long
Dunstan
Geary
OUT
IN
Howe
Roughead
O'Meara
Moore
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
65% 15 points 20.2-0.53
Graft
Hawthorn
78% 28 points 33.0-1.20
AFL Gains
Hawthorn
71% 17 points 22.0-0.80
Stattraction
Hawthorn
71% 22 points 27.0-0.79
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
70% 26 points 31.0-0.74
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
68% 17 points 22.0-0.64
Swinburne
Hawthorn
67% 19 points 24.0-0.60
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
66% 14 points 19.0-0.57
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
66% 14 points 19.0-0.56
The Arc
Hawthorn
65% 13 points 18.0-0.50
Fat Stats
Hawthorn
64% 18 points 22.6-0.49
Punters
Hawthorn
63% 13 points 18.2-0.44
Squiggle
Hawthorn
62% 15 points 19.9-0.40
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
60% 9 points 14.0-0.31
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
59% 5 points 10.0-0.29
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 13.4-0.26
HPN
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 10.8-0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019