Gold Coast v Carlton
Carrara
8.11
59
8.9
57
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 2 points
IN
Ainsworth
Weller
OUT
IN
Curnow
Polson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 61% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.28 | |
77% | 28 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.63 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.50 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.45 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.33 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.29 | ||
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.24 | ||
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.22 | ||
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.3 | 0.20 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.19 | ||
Punters | 56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.16 | |
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 2.3 | -0.01 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.