Gold Coast v Carlton

Carrara

59

57

Match complete
Gold Coast won by 2 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Gold Coast
61% 10 points 8.50.28
Gold Coast
77% 28 points 26.00.63
Gold Coast
71% 19 points 16.90.50
Gold Coast
68% 17 points 15.00.45
Gold Coast
65% 16 points 14.00.38
Gold Coast
64% 12 points 10.00.36
Gold Coast
63% 12 points 10.00.34
Gold Coast
63% 11 points 9.00.33
Gold Coast
61% 11 points 9.40.29
Gold Coast
59% 12 points 10.00.24
Gold Coast
58% 10 points 7.80.22
Gold Coast
57% 9 points 7.30.20
Gold Coast
57% 6 points 3.60.19
Punters
Gold Coast
56% 5 points 2.80.16
Gold Coast
50% 0 points 1.90.00
Carlton
50% 0 points 2.3-0.01
Carlton
50% 0 points 2.0-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019