Gold Coast v Carlton

Carrara

59

57

Match complete
Gold Coast won by 2 points

IN
Ainsworth
Weller
OUT
IN
Curnow
Polson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Gold Coast
61% 10 points 8.50.28
Stattraction
Gold Coast
77% 28 points 26.00.63
HPN
Gold Coast
71% 19 points 16.90.50
The Arc
Gold Coast
68% 17 points 15.00.45
Swinburne
Gold Coast
65% 16 points 14.00.38
Massey Ratings
Gold Coast
64% 12 points 10.00.36
Graft
Gold Coast
63% 12 points 10.00.34
Live Ladders
Gold Coast
63% 11 points 9.00.33
PlusSixOne
Gold Coast
61% 11 points 9.40.29
Footy Maths Institute
Gold Coast
59% 12 points 10.00.24
Fat Stats
Gold Coast
58% 10 points 7.80.22
Squiggle
Gold Coast
57% 9 points 7.30.20
Matter of Stats
Gold Coast
57% 6 points 3.60.19
Punters
Gold Coast
56% 5 points 2.80.16
AFLalytics
Gold Coast
50% 0 points 1.90.00
AFL Gains
Carlton
50% 0 points 2.3-0.01
AFL Lab
Carlton
50% 0 points 2.0-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019