Geelong v Greater Western Sydney

Kardinia Park

75

79

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 4 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
64% 15 points 18.5-0.48
Geelong
76% 26 points 30.0-1.03
Geelong
76% 23 points 26.9-1.05
Geelong
73% 26 points 30.0-0.89
Geelong
72% 20 points 24.0-0.82
Geelong
67% 15 points 19.0-0.60
Geelong
66% 21 points 25.0-0.56
Geelong
66% 21 points 25.0-0.57
Punters
Geelong
66% 16 points 20.0-0.57
Geelong
65% 14 points 18.0-0.53
Geelong
65% 13 points 17.0-0.51
Geelong
64% 15 points 18.7-0.49
Geelong
61% 11 points 14.7-0.35
Geelong
61% 8 points 12.2-0.35
Geelong
57% 8 points 12.1-0.21
Geelong
55% 7 points 10.6-0.15
Greater Western Sydney
62% 11 points 6.90.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019