Geelong v Greater Western Sydney

Kardinia Park

75

79

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 4 points

IN
Henry
Henderson
OUT
IN
Ward
Sheridan
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
64% 15 points 18.5-0.48
Matter of Stats
Geelong
76% 23 points 26.9-1.05
Stattraction
Geelong
76% 26 points 30.0-1.03
Swinburne
Geelong
73% 26 points 30.0-0.89
Graft
Geelong
72% 20 points 24.0-0.82
The Arc
Geelong
67% 15 points 19.0-0.60
Punters
Geelong
66% 16 points 20.0-0.57
AFL Lab
Geelong
66% 21 points 25.0-0.57
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
66% 21 points 25.0-0.56
Massey Ratings
Geelong
65% 14 points 18.0-0.53
Live Ladders
Geelong
65% 13 points 17.0-0.51
PlusSixOne
Geelong
64% 15 points 18.7-0.49
AFL Gains
Geelong
61% 8 points 12.2-0.35
AFLalytics
Geelong
61% 11 points 14.7-0.35
Fat Stats
Geelong
57% 8 points 12.1-0.21
Squiggle
Geelong
55% 7 points 10.6-0.15
HPN
Greater Western Sydney
62% 11 points 6.90.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019