Sydney v Melbourne

S.C.G.

78

100

Match complete
Melbourne won by 22 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Sydney
52% 1 point 23.5-0.05
Sydney
70% 15 points 37.5-0.72
Sydney
62% 15 points 36.9-0.41
Sydney
62% 12 points 33.7-0.38
Sydney
58% 7 points 29.0-0.24
Punters
Sydney
55% 4 points 26.2-0.14
Sydney
54% 4 points 26.0-0.12
Sydney
54% 2 points 23.9-0.11
Sydney
51% 3 points 24.7-0.04
Sydney
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
Sydney
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
Melbourne
51% 2 points 20.00.03
Melbourne
54% 4 points 18.00.11
Melbourne
55% 5 points 16.90.14
Melbourne
58% 5 points 17.00.21
Melbourne
58% 7 points 15.50.20
Melbourne
67% 18 points 4.00.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019