Sydney v Melbourne

S.C.G.

78

100

Match complete
Melbourne won by 22 points

IN
McInerney
Jack
McVeigh
Hayward
OUT
IN
Hore
Preuss
Stretch
Spargo
Neal-Bullen
Jetta
Kolodjashnij
Lockhart
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Sydney
52% 1 point 23.5-0.05
AFL Gains
Sydney
70% 15 points 37.5-0.72
Fat Stats
Sydney
62% 15 points 36.9-0.41
PlusSixOne
Sydney
62% 12 points 33.7-0.38
The Arc
Sydney
58% 7 points 29.0-0.24
Punters
Sydney
55% 4 points 26.2-0.14
Graft
Sydney
54% 4 points 26.0-0.12
Matter of Stats
Sydney
54% 2 points 23.9-0.11
Squiggle
Sydney
51% 3 points 24.7-0.04
Live Ladders
Sydney
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
Footy Maths Institute
Sydney
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
51% 2 points 20.00.03
Swinburne
Melbourne
54% 4 points 18.00.11
AFLalytics
Melbourne
55% 5 points 16.90.14
HPN
Melbourne
58% 7 points 15.50.20
AFL Lab
Melbourne
58% 5 points 17.00.21
Stattraction
Melbourne
67% 18 points 4.00.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019