Sydney v Melbourne
S.C.G.
11.12
78
15.10
100
Match complete
Melbourne won by 22 points
IN
McInerney
Jack
McVeigh
Hayward
OUT
IN
Hore
Preuss
Stretch
Spargo
Neal-Bullen
Jetta
Kolodjashnij
Lockhart
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 52% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.05 | |
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.72 | ||
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -0.41 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.7 | -0.38 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.24 | ||
Punters | 55% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.14 | |
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.12 | ||
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.11 | ||
51% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.04 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.03 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.03 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.11 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.14 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.20 | ||
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.21 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.41 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.