Collingwood v Western Bulldogs

M.C.G.

78

64

Match complete
Collingwood won by 14 points

IN
Brown
Varcoe
Beams
Greenwood
OUT
IN
Johannisen
Young
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
68% 19 points 4.50.45
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
83% 32 points 17.70.74
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
83% 33 points 19.00.74
AFLalytics
Collingwood
79% 28 points 14.10.66
Fat Stats
Collingwood
77% 35 points 21.40.61
Graft
Collingwood
75% 24 points 10.00.58
Punters
Collingwood
74% 23 points 9.00.57
Stattraction
Collingwood
72% 23 points 9.00.53
The Arc
Collingwood
71% 19 points 5.00.51
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
71% 29 points 15.00.51
Live Ladders
Collingwood
71% 18 points 4.00.50
AFL Lab
Collingwood
68% 8 points 6.00.45
Swinburne
Collingwood
68% 19 points 5.00.44
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
63% 13 points 0.80.33
Squiggle
Collingwood
63% 15 points 1.50.33
AFL Gains
Western Bulldogs
62% 9 points 23.4-0.41
HPN
Western Bulldogs
65% 14 points 27.7-0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019