Collingwood v Western Bulldogs

M.C.G.

78

64

Match complete
Collingwood won by 14 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
68% 19 points 4.50.45
Collingwood
83% 33 points 19.00.74
Collingwood
83% 32 points 17.70.74
Collingwood
79% 28 points 14.10.66
Collingwood
77% 35 points 21.40.61
Collingwood
75% 24 points 10.00.58
Punters
Collingwood
74% 23 points 9.00.57
Collingwood
72% 23 points 9.00.53
Collingwood
71% 29 points 15.00.51
Collingwood
71% 19 points 5.00.51
Collingwood
71% 18 points 4.00.50
Collingwood
68% 19 points 5.00.44
Collingwood
68% 8 points 6.00.45
Collingwood
63% 15 points 1.50.33
Collingwood
63% 13 points 0.80.33
Western Bulldogs
62% 9 points 23.4-0.41
Western Bulldogs
65% 14 points 27.7-0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019