Collingwood v Western Bulldogs
2019-04-12 19:50:00
M.C.G.

11.12

78

9.10

64

Match complete
Collingwood won by 14 points

IN

Brown

Varcoe

Beams

Greenwood

OUT

IN

Johannisen

Young

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		68%	19 points	✓	4.5	0.45
		83%	32 points	✓	17.7	0.74
		83%	33 points	✓	19.0	0.74
		79%	28 points	✓	14.1	0.66
		77%	35 points	✓	21.4	0.61
		75%	24 points	✓	10.0	0.58
Punters		74%	23 points	✓	9.0	0.57
		72%	23 points	✓	9.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.51
		71%	29 points	✓	15.0	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	4.0	0.50
		68%	8 points	✓	6.0	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.44
		63%	13 points	✓	0.8	0.33
		63%	15 points	✓	1.5	0.33
		62%	9 points	✗	23.4	-0.41
		65%	14 points	✗	27.7	-0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.