North Melbourne v Adelaide

Marvel Stadium

71

59

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 12 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
51% 2 points 13.6-0.04
Adelaide
59% 9 points 21.0-0.29
Adelaide
58% 4 points 16.0-0.24
Adelaide
57% 8 points 20.0-0.21
Adelaide
56% 4 points 16.3-0.18
Adelaide
55% 6 points 18.1-0.15
Adelaide
53% 4 points 16.1-0.08
Adelaide
53% 3 points 15.0-0.08
Adelaide
51% 2 points 14.0-0.03
Adelaide
51% 1 point 13.1-0.03
Adelaide
50% 1 point 13.3-0.00
North Melbourne
51% 0 points 12.00.01
North Melbourne
51% 0 points 12.00.03
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 10.00.06
Punters
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 9.50.08
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 9.50.08
North Melbourne
60% 10 points 1.90.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019