North Melbourne v Adelaide
Marvel Stadium
9.17
71
8.11
59
Match complete
North Melbourne won by 12 points
IN
Zurhaar
Ahern
Wood
Anderson
Tyson
Campbell
Scott
McKay
OUT
IN
Poholke
Ellis-Yolmen
Gibbs
Seedsman
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 51% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.6 | -0.04 | |
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.29 | ||
58% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.24 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.21 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.3 | -0.18 | ||
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.1 | -0.15 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.08 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.08 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.03 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.03 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.00 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.01 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.03 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.06 | ||
Punters | 53% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.08 | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.08 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.