North Melbourne v Adelaide

Marvel Stadium

71

59

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 12 points

IN
Zurhaar
Ahern
Wood
Anderson
Tyson
Campbell
Scott
McKay
OUT
IN
Poholke
Ellis-Yolmen
Gibbs
Seedsman
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
51% 2 points 13.6-0.04
Swinburne
Adelaide
59% 9 points 21.0-0.29
AFL Lab
Adelaide
58% 4 points 16.0-0.24
Stattraction
Adelaide
57% 8 points 20.0-0.21
AFL Gains
Adelaide
56% 4 points 16.3-0.18
Fat Stats
Adelaide
55% 6 points 18.1-0.15
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
53% 4 points 16.1-0.08
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
53% 3 points 15.0-0.08
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
51% 1 point 13.1-0.03
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
51% 2 points 14.0-0.03
Squiggle
Adelaide
50% 1 point 13.3-0.00
The Arc
North Melbourne
51% 0 points 12.00.01
Graft
North Melbourne
51% 0 points 12.00.03
Live Ladders
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 10.00.06
Punters
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 9.50.08
HPN
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 9.50.08
AFLalytics
North Melbourne
60% 10 points 1.90.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019