Essendon v Brisbane Lions
2019-04-13 14:10:00
M.C.G.

17.10

112

9.11

65

Match complete
Essendon won by 47 points

IN

Redman

Brown

Myers

Hooker

Guelfi

McKernan

Francis

Mutch

OUT

IN

Christensen

Robertson

Bastinac

Bailey

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		58%	8 points	✓	39.1	0.21
		69%	18 points	✓	29.0	0.47
		68%	25 points	✓	22.0	0.44
		68%	19 points	✓	28.0	0.44
		64%	12 points	✓	35.0	0.35
		62%	11 points	✓	36.0	0.32
		62%	15 points	✓	32.4	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	36.0	0.30
		60%	4 points	✓	43.0	0.26
		55%	5 points	✓	42.1	0.14
Punters		55%	5 points	✓	42.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	43.3	0.10
		54%	4 points	✓	43.0	0.10
		52%	1 point	✓	46.1	0.06
		51%	3 points	✓	44.4	0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	49.0	-0.07
		60%	8 points	✗	54.6	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.