Essendon v Brisbane Lions

M.C.G.

112

65

Match complete
Essendon won by 47 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
58% 8 points 39.10.21
Essendon
69% 18 points 29.00.47
Essendon
68% 25 points 22.00.44
Essendon
68% 19 points 28.00.44
Essendon
64% 12 points 35.00.35
Essendon
62% 15 points 32.40.31
Essendon
62% 11 points 36.00.32
Essendon
61% 11 points 36.00.30
Essendon
60% 4 points 43.00.26
Punters
Essendon
55% 5 points 42.00.14
Essendon
55% 5 points 42.10.14
Essendon
54% 4 points 43.30.10
Essendon
54% 4 points 43.00.10
Essendon
52% 1 point 46.10.06
Essendon
51% 3 points 44.40.03
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 49.0-0.07
Brisbane Lions
60% 8 points 54.6-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019