Essendon v Brisbane Lions

M.C.G.

112

65

Match complete
Essendon won by 47 points

IN
Redman
Brown
Myers
Hooker
Guelfi
McKernan
Francis
Mutch
OUT
IN
Christensen
Robertson
Bastinac
Bailey
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
58% 8 points 39.10.21
The Arc
Essendon
69% 18 points 29.00.47
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
68% 25 points 22.00.44
Swinburne
Essendon
68% 19 points 28.00.44
Massey Ratings
Essendon
64% 12 points 35.00.35
Live Ladders
Essendon
62% 11 points 36.00.32
Fat Stats
Essendon
62% 15 points 32.40.31
Graft
Essendon
61% 11 points 36.00.30
AFL Lab
Essendon
60% 4 points 43.00.26
AFLalytics
Essendon
55% 5 points 42.10.14
Punters
Essendon
55% 5 points 42.00.14
PlusSixOne
Essendon
54% 4 points 43.30.10
Stattraction
Essendon
54% 4 points 43.00.10
Matter of Stats
Essendon
52% 1 point 46.10.06
Squiggle
Essendon
51% 3 points 44.40.03
HPN
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 49.0-0.07
AFL Gains
Brisbane Lions
60% 8 points 54.6-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019