Port Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide Oval

92

99

Match complete
Richmond won by 7 points

IN
Ross
Baker
Bolton
Menadue
Grimes
Caddy
Martin
Cotchin
Short
Butler
Markov
Garthwaite
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
60% 11 points 18.0-0.34
HPN
Port Adelaide
88% 43 points 49.9-2.06
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
84% 31 points 38.5-1.62
Punters
Port Adelaide
74% 25 points 32.0-0.94
AFLalytics
Port Adelaide
70% 17 points 24.3-0.74
AFL Gains
Port Adelaide
68% 14 points 20.8-0.63
Fat Stats
Port Adelaide
67% 21 points 28.3-0.61
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
66% 19 points 26.4-0.55
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
60% 10 points 17.3-0.33
The Arc
Port Adelaide
56% 5 points 12.0-0.19
Graft
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 10.0-0.10
Massey Ratings
Richmond
50% 0 points 7.00.00
Footy Maths Institute
Richmond
51% 1 point 6.00.03
Swinburne
Richmond
51% 1 point 6.00.03
Live Ladders
Richmond
52% 2 points 5.00.07
Stattraction
Richmond
53% 3 points 4.00.08
AFL Lab
Richmond
61% 6 points 1.00.30

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019