Port Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide Oval

92

99

Match complete
Richmond won by 7 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
60% 11 points 18.0-0.34
Port Adelaide
88% 43 points 49.9-2.06
Port Adelaide
84% 31 points 38.5-1.62
Punters
Port Adelaide
74% 25 points 32.0-0.94
Port Adelaide
70% 17 points 24.3-0.74
Port Adelaide
68% 14 points 20.8-0.63
Port Adelaide
67% 21 points 28.3-0.61
Port Adelaide
66% 19 points 26.4-0.55
Port Adelaide
60% 10 points 17.3-0.33
Port Adelaide
56% 5 points 12.0-0.19
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 10.0-0.10
Richmond
50% 0 points 7.00.00
Richmond
51% 1 point 6.00.03
Richmond
51% 1 point 6.00.03
Richmond
52% 2 points 5.00.07
Richmond
53% 3 points 4.00.08
Richmond
61% 6 points 1.00.30

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2019