Port Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
14.8
92
15.9
99
Match complete
Richmond won by 7 points
IN
Ross
Baker
Bolton
Menadue
Grimes
Caddy
Martin
Cotchin
Short
Butler
Markov
Garthwaite
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.34 |
 |
|
88% | 43 points | ✗ | 49.9 | -2.06 |
 |
|
84% | 31 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -1.62 |
| Punters | |
74% | 25 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.94 |
 |
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.74 |
 |
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.63 |
 |
|
67% | 21 points | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.61 |
 |
|
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 26.4 | -0.55 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.33 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
61% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.30 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.