Fremantle v St Kilda
2019-04-07 17:20:00
Perth Stadium

11.5

71

9.12

66

Match complete
Fremantle won by 5 points

IN

Duman

Matera

Darcy

Schultz

OUT

IN

Clark

Steven

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		60%	10 points	✓	5.0	0.26
		69%	15 points	✓	9.9	0.46
Punters		68%	18 points	✓	12.5	0.44
		67%	21 points	✓	16.0	0.41
		67%	15 points	✓	10.0	0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	8.8	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	8.0	0.36
		63%	15 points	✓	10.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	8.0	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	5.8	0.32
		61%	13 points	✓	8.3	0.28
		56%	8 points	✓	3.0	0.16
		53%	3 points	✓	2.0	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	2.0	0.09
		51%	1 point	✓	4.0	0.02
		68%	14 points	✗	18.8	-0.63

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.