Carlton v Sydney
Marvel Stadium
10.14
74
14.9
93
Match complete
Sydney won by 19 points
IN
Lobbe
O'Brien
Marchbank
Casboult
Curnow
Fasolo
Phillips
Garlett
OUT
IN
Dawson
McCartin
Thurlow
Clarke
Melican
O'Riordan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 17 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.43 | |
86% | 44 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.78 | ||
80% | 38 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.68 | ||
78% | 28 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.63 | ||
73% | 31 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.55 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.51 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.48 | ||
66% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.40 | ||
Punters | 66% | 15 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.40 | |
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.37 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.32 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.8 | 0.24 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.13 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.2 | 0.09 | ||
55% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.