Collingwood v West Coast
M.C.G.
11.10
76
15.8
98
Match complete
West Coast won by 22 points
IN
Adams
Varcoe
OUT
IN
Rotham
Cripps
Gaff
Duggan
Venables
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.3 | -0.48 |
 |
|
83% | 30 points | ✗ | 52.1 | -1.55 |
 |
|
79% | 28 points | ✗ | 49.9 | -1.22 |
 |
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 49.4 | -1.17 |
| Punters | |
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 40.9 | -0.70 |
 |
|
68% | 23 points | ✗ | 45.1 | -0.66 |
 |
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.61 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.54 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.48 |
 |
|
63% | 15 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.41 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.31 |
 |
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.29 |
 |
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.22 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 12.7 | 0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.