Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
Gabba
16.11
107
13.12
90
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 17 points
IN
Howard
Gray
Wines
Watts
Amon
Marshall
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.09 |
 |
|
61% | 6 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.26 |
| Punters | |
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.25 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.22 |
 |
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.21 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.21 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.05 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.05 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.