Melbourne v Essendon
M.C.G.
18.4
112
20.10
130
Match complete
Essendon won by 18 points
IN
Wagner
Wagner
May
Sparrow
OUT
IN
Clarke
Mutch
Ridley
Myers
Langford
Brown
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.30 |
 |
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.71 |
 |
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.53 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.3 | -0.53 |
| Punters | |
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.51 |
 |
|
63% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.42 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.40 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.4 | -0.27 |
 |
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.25 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.13 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.