Hawthorn v North Melbourne
2019-04-07 15:20:00
M.C.G.

13.9

87

10.11

71

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 16 points

IN

Moore

Mirra

Wingard

Burgoyne

Roughead

Shiels

OUT

IN

Dumont

Williams

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		66%	16 points	✓	0.4	0.40
		77%	23 points	✓	6.9	0.63
		72%	20 points	✓	4.0	0.53
		70%	22 points	✓	6.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	3.0	0.48
		69%	11 points	✓	5.0	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	0.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	1.0	0.44
		67%	22 points	✓	6.0	0.43
		66%	15 points	✓	1.0	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	1.0	0.39
		64%	17 points	✓	1.1	0.35
		64%	14 points	✓	2.0	0.35
Punters		62%	12 points	✓	3.8	0.32
		61%	14 points	✓	2.0	0.29
		59%	8 points	✓	8.5	0.23
		56%	5 points	✓	10.6	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.