Greater Western Sydney v Richmond
Sydney Showground
19.11
125
10.16
76
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 49 points
IN
Sheridan
Mumford
Kelly
Deledio
Simpson
Keeffe
OUT
IN
Balta
Stack
Garthwaite
Riewoldt
Grimes
Weller
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 58% | 9 points | ✓ | 40.3 | 0.22 | |
78% | 37 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.63 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 33.3 | 0.43 | ||
Punters | 64% | 14 points | ✓ | 35.5 | 0.36 | |
63% | 16 points | ✓ | 33.3 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.28 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 40.8 | 0.22 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.16 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.14 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 46.2 | 0.09 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.06 | ||
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 61.3 | -0.55 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.