Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
10.15
75
14.15
99
Match complete
Geelong won by 24 points
IN
O'Brien
Jacobs
OUT
IN
Henderson
Henry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 18.6 | 0.15 |
 |
|
76% | 27 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.60 |
 |
|
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.47 |
 |
|
62% | 15 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.30 |
 |
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.28 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.1 | 0.22 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.11 |
| Punters | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.2 | 0.09 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.05 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 22.9 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.2 | 0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -0.21 |
 |
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.