Gold Coast v Fremantle
Carrara
7.19
61
8.10
58
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 3 points
IN
Holman
Joyce
Ainsworth
Horlin-Smith
OUT
IN
Hogan
Ballantyne
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.32 | |
82% | 35 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.43 | ||
Punters | 69% | 17 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.71 | |
66% | 18 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.54 | ||
65% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.51 | ||
64% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.47 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.4 | -0.47 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.45 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.3 | -0.41 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.33 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.26 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.18 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.15 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.09 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.08 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.11 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.