Port Adelaide v Carlton
2019-03-30 17:10:00
Adelaide Oval

13.10

88

11.6

72

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 16 points

IN

Polson

Cuningham

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		86%	42 points	✓	26.0	0.79
		94%	50 points	✓	34.0	0.92
		92%	48 points	✓	32.0	0.89
		90%	42 points	✓	26.0	0.86
		90%	41 points	✓	24.7	0.85
		90%	51 points	✓	35.0	0.85
		88%	59 points	✓	43.0	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	25.0	0.80
		87%	38 points	✓	22.0	0.79
		86%	36 points	✓	20.2	0.78
		85%	38 points	✓	21.9	0.77
		84%	43 points	✓	27.0	0.75
		83%	49 points	✓	33.0	0.73
		83%	44 points	✓	28.0	0.73
Punters		82%	34 points	✓	17.5	0.71
		81%	42 points	✓	25.8	0.70
		80%	17 points	✓	1.0	0.68

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.