Geelong v Melbourne
2019-03-30 19:25:00
Kardinia Park

20.6

126

6.10

46

Match complete
Geelong won by 80 points

IN

Lockhart

Kolodjashnij

May

Spargo

Wagner

Hore

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		59%	9 points	✓	71.1	0.23
		70%	23 points	✓	57.0	0.49
		68%	15 points	✓	64.8	0.45
		67%	22 points	✓	58.0	0.43
		63%	18 points	✓	62.0	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	70.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	71.0	0.28
		61%	10 points	✓	70.0	0.28
		61%	11 points	✓	69.0	0.28
Punters		60%	10 points	✓	70.1	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	73.2	0.24
		57%	8 points	✓	72.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	74.0	0.18
		52%	3 points	✓	77.0	0.07
		50%	1 point	✓	79.0	0.00
		55%	4 points	✗	84.4	-0.16
		57%	6 points	✗	86.3	-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.