Geelong v Melbourne

Kardinia Park

126

46

Match complete
Geelong won by 80 points

IN
Lockhart
Kolodjashnij
May
Spargo
Wagner
Hore
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
59% 9 points 71.10.23
Geelong
70% 23 points 57.00.49
Geelong
68% 15 points 64.80.45
Geelong
67% 22 points 58.00.43
Geelong
63% 18 points 62.00.34
Geelong
62% 10 points 70.00.31
Geelong
61% 9 points 71.00.28
Geelong
61% 10 points 70.00.28
Geelong
61% 11 points 69.00.28
Punters
Geelong
60% 10 points 70.10.26
Geelong
59% 7 points 73.20.24
Geelong
57% 8 points 72.00.19
Geelong
57% 6 points 74.00.18
Geelong
52% 3 points 77.00.07
Geelong
50% 1 points 79.00.00
Melbourne
55% 4 points 84.4-0.16
Melbourne
57% 6 points 86.3-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 2, 2019