Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
13.9
87
16.10
106
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 19 points
IN
Scully
Mirra
OUT
IN
Young
Williams
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 38.6 | -0.71 |
 |
|
81% | 28 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.37 |
 |
|
80% | 29 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.31 |
 |
|
77% | 25 points | ✗ | 43.7 | -1.10 |
 |
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 40.5 | -0.99 |
 |
|
74% | 30 points | ✗ | 49.2 | -0.95 |
 |
|
72% | 30 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.86 |
 |
|
71% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.79 |
 |
|
70% | 23 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.73 |
| Punters | |
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 38.3 | -0.71 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.66 |
 |
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.66 |
 |
|
68% | 24 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.64 |
 |
|
68% | 19 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.63 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.17 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.