Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs

M.C.G.

87

106

Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 19 points

IN
Scully
Mirra
OUT
IN
Young
Williams
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
69% 20 points 38.6-0.71
Hawthorn
81% 28 points 47.0-1.37
Hawthorn
80% 29 points 48.0-1.31
Hawthorn
77% 25 points 43.7-1.10
Hawthorn
75% 21 points 40.5-0.99
Hawthorn
74% 30 points 49.2-0.95
Hawthorn
72% 30 points 49.5-0.86
Hawthorn
71% 12 points 31.0-0.79
Hawthorn
70% 23 points 42.0-0.74
Hawthorn
70% 18 points 37.0-0.73
Punters
Hawthorn
69% 19 points 38.3-0.71
Hawthorn
68% 16 points 35.0-0.66
Hawthorn
68% 18 points 37.0-0.66
Hawthorn
68% 24 points 43.0-0.64
Hawthorn
68% 19 points 38.0-0.63
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 23.9-0.17
Western Bulldogs
56% 4 points 14.80.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 2, 2019