Essendon v St Kilda

Marvel Stadium

65

76

Match complete
St Kilda won by 11 points

IN
Parish
Ridley
OUT
IN
Marshall
Brown
Acres
Long
Pierce
Joyce
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
67% 17 points 27.9-0.61
Essendon
86% 34 points 45.0-1.80
Essendon
73% 19 points 30.1-0.90
Essendon
73% 23 points 33.8-0.88
Essendon
73% 22 points 33.0-0.87
Essendon
72% 25 points 36.0-0.85
Essendon
72% 20 points 31.0-0.84
Essendon
72% 11 points 22.0-0.83
Punters
Essendon
70% 20 points 31.1-0.75
Essendon
70% 27 points 38.0-0.74
Essendon
69% 22 points 33.0-0.69
Essendon
60% 9 points 20.0-0.34
Essendon
59% 8 points 18.7-0.28
Essendon
58% 9 points 20.0-0.27
Essendon
58% 11 points 22.1-0.24
Essendon
56% 5 points 15.8-0.20
Essendon
56% 6 points 17.4-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 2, 2019