Essendon v St Kilda
Marvel Stadium
9.11
65
10.16
76
Match complete
St Kilda won by 11 points
IN
Parish
Ridley
OUT
IN
Marshall
Brown
Acres
Long
Pierce
Joyce
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -0.61 |
 |
|
86% | 34 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -1.80 |
 |
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.90 |
 |
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.88 |
 |
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.87 |
 |
|
72% | 25 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.85 |
 |
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.84 |
 |
|
72% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.83 |
| Punters | |
70% | 20 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.75 |
 |
|
70% | 27 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
69% | 22 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.69 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.34 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.28 |
 |
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.27 |
 |
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.24 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.