Sydney v Adelaide
S.C.G.
8.14
62
12.16
88
Match complete
Adelaide won by 26 points
IN
O'Riordan
Ronke
Grundy
Dawson
OUT
IN
Hartigan
Seedsman
Douglas
Doedee
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.12 |
 |
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.49 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.37 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.33 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.27 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.11 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.11 |
| Punters | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.6 | -0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 26.1 | -0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 24.4 | 0.00 |
 |
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 22.5 | 0.13 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 18.1 | 0.24 |
 |
|
60% | 5 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.