Richmond v Collingwood
M.C.G.
10.6
66
17.8
110
Match complete
Collingwood won by 44 points
IN
Markov
Castagna
Ellis
Rance
Houli
Balta
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Brown
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.19 |
 |
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.64 |
 |
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 56.1 | -0.55 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.49 |
 |
|
60% | 6 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.31 |
 |
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.29 |
 |
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.26 |
 |
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 48.8 | -0.17 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 46.9 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 6 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.09 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 44.9 | -0.02 |
| Punters | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 42.8 | 0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 42.5 | 0.04 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.