North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
Marvel Stadium
13.9
87
16.11
107
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 20 points
IN
Thomas
Campbell
Thompson
Dumont
Wood
Vickers-Willis
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.12 |
 |
|
66% | 21 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 38.7 | -0.55 |
 |
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.53 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.46 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.31 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.04 |
| Punters | |
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.8 | 0.05 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.09 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.10 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.12 |
 |
|
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
60% | 14 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.