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Who is your AFL club death-riding this year? | Hurling People Now

Posted on April 5, 2017April 10, 2017 by Max Barry

The introduction of future draft pick trades in 2015 has given us, the footballing public/nerds, the wonderful spectacle of clubs quite literally taking bets on each other and then “death-riding” them the following year in the hopes of securing a better pick.

Source: Who is your AFL club death-riding this year? | Hurling People Now

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 15.5 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
2
 Hawthorn 14.4 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
3
 Adelaide 13.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Sydney 13.6 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
5
 Gold Coast 13.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–6
6
 Geelong 13.5 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
7
 Brisbane Lions 12.6 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
8
 GWS 12.4 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
9
 Collingwood 12.1 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
10
 Fremantle 12.0 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 Melbourne 11.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
12
 North Melbourne 10.1 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
13
 Carlton 10.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 St Kilda 9.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 Port Adelaide 9.4 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
16
 Richmond 8.1 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
17
 Essendon 7.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
18
 West Coast 7.7 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18

After 2 games of Round 2, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Western Bulldogs 3 – – 137.2%
+12.5
1
2
 Gold Coast 2∗ – – 181.6%
+11.5
5
3
 Sydney 2 1 – 139.5%
+11.6
4
4
 Hawthorn 2 1 – 118.1%
+12.4
2
5
 North Melbourne 1∗ – – 168.7%
+9.1
12
6
 Melbourne 1∗ – – 112.1%
+10.0
11
7
 Adelaide 1∗ 1 – 104.6%
+12.7
3
8
 Collingwood 1∗ 1 – 98.7%
+11.1
9
9
 Geelong 1∗ 1 – 79.6%
+12.5
6
10
 GWS 1∗ 1 – 76.4%
+11.4
8
11
 Carlton 1∗ 1 – 70.9%
+9.0
13
12
 Richmond –∗ 1 – 94.7%
+8.1
16
13
 Fremantle –∗ 1 – 90.9%
+12.0
10
14
 St Kilda –∗ 2 – 87.4%
+9.8
14
15
 Brisbane Lions –∗ 2 – 77.2%
+12.6
7
16
 Port Adelaide –∗ 1 – 59.3%
+9.4
15
17
 Essendon –∗ 1 – 57.2%
+7.6
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 1 – 55.0%
+7.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 2

14 2.6226 2.62 24.4925 24.49 87.5000 87.5%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 2

13 4.5280 4.53 23.8194 23.82 81.2500 81.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 2

13 4.1717 4.17 24.7081 24.71 81.2500 81.2%
HBin

4 7 2

13 3.8705 3.87 26.0312 26.03 81.2500 81.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 2

12 4.6014 4.60 25.8463 25.85 75.0000 75.0%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 2

12 4.2889 4.29 26.1575 26.16 75.0000 75.0%
s10

2 8 2

12 4.0898 4.09 25.4225 25.42 75.0000 75.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 2

12 4.0013 4.00 25.5000 25.50 75.0000 75.0%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 2

12 3.7725 3.77 26.4150 26.41 75.0000 75.0%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 2

12 3.6993 3.70 25.3844 25.38 75.0000 75.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 2

12 3.2356 3.24 24.4375 24.44 75.0000 75.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 2

11 4.7625 4.76 25.4994 25.50 68.7500 68.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 2

11 4.2654 4.27 26.1069 26.11 68.7500 68.8%
Graft

3 7 1

11 4.1756 4.18 27.2500 27.25 68.7500 68.8%
Aggregate

2 7 2

11 3.5212 3.52 25.4456 25.45 68.7500 68.8%
ZaphBot

2 7 2

11 3.5159 3.52 29.5625 29.56 68.7500 68.8%
footycharts

3 7 1

11 3.4822 3.48 25.4031 25.40 68.7500 68.8%
Informed Stats

2 7 1

10 3.5291 3.53 28.3125 28.31 62.5000 62.5%
Stattraction

2 6 2

10 3.1708 3.17 26.8219 26.82 62.5000 62.5%
The Footycast

2 7 1

10 2.9101 2.91 28.6750 28.68 62.5000 62.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 1

10 2.6417 2.64 27.0000 27.00 62.5000 62.5%
Squiggle

1 7 2

10 2.5854 2.59 28.1438 28.14 62.5000 62.5%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 1

10 2.3442 2.34 29.0625 29.06 62.5000 62.5%
AFL Lab

2 7 1

10 2.1056 2.11 30.3044 30.30 62.5000 62.5%
PlusSixOne

2 7 1

10 2.0325 2.03 28.2563 28.26 62.5000 62.5%
Winnable

1 7 1

9 3.0578 3.06 26.7569 26.76 56.2500 56.2%
Punters

2 6 1

9 2.9105 2.91 26.1650 26.16 56.2500 56.2%
In The Game

2 6 1

9 2.5075 2.51 26.5269 26.53 56.2500 56.2%
Hyperion

3 5 1

9 1.4069 1.41 28.9375 28.94 56.2500 56.2%
Cheap Stats

3 5 1

9 0.7454 0.75 30.3750 30.38 56.2500 56.2%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †4 50.0000 50.0%

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