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Who is your AFL club death-riding this year? | Hurling People Now

Posted on April 5, 2017April 10, 2017 by Max Barry

The introduction of future draft pick trades in 2015 has given us, the footballing public/nerds, the wonderful spectacle of clubs quite literally taking bets on each other and then “death-riding” them the following year in the hopes of securing a better pick.

Source: Who is your AFL club death-riding this year? | Hurling People Now

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.9 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.6 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Adelaide 14.8 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Western Bulldogs 14.5 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 14.7 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–6
6
 Gold Coast 14.6 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Hawthorn 14.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Fremantle 13.6 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 GWS 12.4 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Carlton 10.8 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Sydney 10.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 Port Adelaide 9.9 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
13
 Melbourne 9.2 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 St Kilda 9.2 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
15
 Essendon 8.9 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.7 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.5 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 3.2 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 15, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 11∗ 2 – 134.0%
+6.9
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 10 4 1 113.4%
+4.2
5
3
 Geelong 10 5 – 127.5%
+6.6
2
4
 Adelaide 9∗ 5 – 135.2%
+5.8
3
5
 Hawthorn 9∗ 5 – 111.6%
+5.0
7
6
 Fremantle 9∗ 5 – 110.0%
+4.6
8
7
 Gold Coast 8∗ 4 – 123.2%
+6.6
6
8
 GWS 8∗ 6 – 107.6%
+4.4
9
9
 Western Bulldogs 7∗ 6 – 127.7%
+7.5
4
10
 Carlton 6∗ 8 – 105.1%
+4.8
10
11
 Port Adelaide 6∗ 7 – 84.7%
+3.9
12
12
 Essendon 6∗ 8 – 77.5%
+2.9
15
13
 Sydney 5∗ 8 – 90.1%
+5.7
11
14
 St Kilda 5∗ 8 – 87.8%
+4.2
14
15
 Melbourne 5∗ 9 – 87.1%
+4.2
13
16
 North Melbourne 4∗ 9 1 82.5%
+2.2
16
17
 Richmond 3∗ 10 – 69.4%
+2.5
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 13 – 65.1%
+2.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 1

91 18.62 27.45 74.0%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 1

90 19.35 27.03 73.2%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 1

90 18.28 27.29 73.2%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 1

90 16.57 27.97 73.2%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 1

89 20.17 27.17 72.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 1

89 18.76 27.90 72.4%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 1

89 18.17 27.19 72.4%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 1

89 16.46 27.62 72.4%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

88 18.17 27.23 71.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 1

88 17.30 28.87 71.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 1

88 17.01 28.58 71.5%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

87 20.58 26.83 70.7%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 1

86 17.59 27.44 69.9%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 1

85 18.66 26.94 69.1%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 1

85 18.46 27.64 69.1%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 1

85 16.55 28.09 69.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 1

85 16.20 28.08 69.1%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 1

85 15.76 27.45 69.1%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 1

84 15.30 28.18 68.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 1

83 17.61 26.93 67.5%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 1

83 15.83 28.48 67.5%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

83 10.77 29.71 67.5%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 1

81 16.74 27.85 65.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 1

80 14.36 29.16 65.0%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 1

79 9.00 29.35 64.2%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 1

78 15.20 28.11 63.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 1

78 13.00 29.16 63.4%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 1

78 12.81 28.56 63.4%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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