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Who is your AFL club death-riding this year? | Hurling People Now

Posted on April 5, 2017April 10, 2017 by Max Barry

The introduction of future draft pick trades in 2015 has given us, the footballing public/nerds, the wonderful spectacle of clubs quite literally taking bets on each other and then “death-riding” them the following year in the hopes of securing a better pick.

Source: Who is your AFL club death-riding this year? | Hurling People Now

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.9 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.1 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Gold Coast 15.6 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Western Bulldogs 14.8 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 15.0 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Adelaide 14.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Hawthorn 13.4 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 GWS 12.9 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Fremantle 12.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Carlton 10.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Sydney 10.5 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 Melbourne 10.5 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
13
 Essendon 10.1 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 St Kilda 8.9 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
15
 Port Adelaide 8.8 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.0 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.6 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 4.2 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 1 game of Round 12, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Brisbane Lions 9 2 1 114.0%
+5.5
5
2
 Collingwood 9∗ 2 – 132.9%
+8.9
1
3
 Gold Coast 8∗ 2 – 131.9%
+7.6
3
4
 Adelaide 7∗ 4 – 130.6%
+7.0
6
5
 Geelong 7∗ 4 – 122.0%
+9.1
2
6
 Hawthorn 7∗ 4 – 117.4%
+6.4
7
7
 Western Bulldogs 6∗ 5 – 126.5%
+8.8
4
8
 GWS 6∗ 5 – 109.9%
+6.9
8
9
 Fremantle 6∗ 5 – 105.6%
+6.4
9
10
 Essendon 6∗ 5 – 84.6%
+4.1
13
11
 Melbourne 5∗ 6 – 89.3%
+5.5
12
12
 Carlton 4∗ 7 – 102.8%
+6.5
10
13
 Sydney 4∗ 7 – 93.2%
+6.5
11
14
 St Kilda 4∗ 7 – 89.8%
+4.9
14
15
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 7 – 79.1%
+4.8
15
16
 Richmond 3∗ 8 – 69.2%
+2.6
17
17
 North Melbourne 2∗ 8 1 78.1%
+3.5
16
18
 West Coast 1∗ 10 – 64.6%
+3.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 1

75 17.12 26.42 75.8%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 1

75 16.50 26.77 75.8%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 1

74 17.61 26.58 74.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 1

73 17.41 26.70 73.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 1

73 16.80 27.23 73.7%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 1

73 15.86 26.86 73.7%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 1

73 15.72 27.65 73.7%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 1

72 16.41 26.51 72.7%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 1

72 15.76 26.91 72.7%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 1

72 14.92 28.18 72.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 1

72 14.59 27.20 72.7%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 1

71 18.79 26.15 71.7%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 1

70 17.70 26.23 70.7%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 1

70 15.72 27.27 70.7%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 1

70 13.97 27.74 70.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 1

70 13.70 28.58 70.7%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 1

70 12.98 28.31 70.7%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 1

70 12.31 27.03 70.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 1

69 16.32 26.24 69.7%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 1

69 15.37 27.55 69.7%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 1

69 13.39 27.94 69.7%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 1

67 8.18 29.59 67.7%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 1

65 12.35 28.07 65.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 1

65 11.68 28.53 65.7%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 1

64 12.05 28.26 64.6%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 1

64 10.99 29.09 64.6%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 1

63 7.55 29.51 63.6%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 1

59 11.11 28.07†9 65.6%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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