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Don’t Stress If Your Team Is 0-2

Posted on April 7, 2017April 10, 2017 by Max Barry

Hurling People Now and The Arc join forces to show that 0-2 is not a death sentence:

Pasted image at 2017_04_06 09_51 PM

It’s quite possible to get out to a slow start and have a successful season, and the conditions seem to be as good in 2017 as they have been in any other recent year.

Source: The Arc/HPN Crossover: Don’t Stress If Your Team Is 0-2 | Hurling People Now

CategoriesHurling People Now, The Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.6 140%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 16.7 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.8 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Adelaide 15.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 15.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Melbourne 14.3 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
7
 Geelong 13.8 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
8
 Western Bulldogs 13.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Collingwood 12.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 St Kilda 11.1 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 GWS 10.8 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Carlton 10.1 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
13
 Gold Coast 9.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 North Melbourne 9.3 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.2 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 5.3 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Essendon 2.7 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Richmond 3.0 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 19, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 16 2 – 142.0%
+3.6
1
2
 Sydney 13 5 – 128.3%
+3.7
2
3
 Hawthorn 12 5 1 118.4%
+3.3
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 12 6 – 117.8%
+3.3
5
5
 Adelaide 12 6 – 117.2%
+3.3
4
6
 Melbourne 12 6 – 109.6%
+2.3
6
7
 Western Bulldogs 11 7 – 93.2%
+2.6
8
8
 Collingwood 10 7 1 105.7%
+2.0
9
9
 Geelong 10 8 – 116.2%
+3.8
7
10
 St Kilda 8 10 – 104.0%
+3.1
10
11
 GWS 8 10 – 101.3%
+2.8
11
12
 Carlton 8 10 – 91.1%
+2.1
12
13
 North Melbourne 8 10 – 90.9%
+1.3
14
14
 Gold Coast 7 11 – 95.3%
+2.1
13
15
 Port Adelaide 6 12 – 99.2%
+2.2
15
16
 West Coast 4 14 – 72.1%
+1.3
16
17
 Essendon 2 16 – 67.9%
+0.7
17
18
 Richmond 2 16 – 61.7%
+1.0
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7

124 39.1829 39.18 24.7523 24.75 76.5432 76.5%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8

122 40.7340 40.73 25.3025 25.30 75.3086 75.3%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6

122 26.4633 26.46 24.9860 24.99 75.3086 75.3%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6

121 37.4553 37.46 24.4863 24.49 74.6914 74.7%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6

119 39.8648 39.86 24.8949 24.89 73.4568 73.5%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6

119 38.7640 38.76 24.9894 24.99 73.4568 73.5%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6

118 39.7457 39.75 24.9770 24.98 72.8395 72.8%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6

118 37.7274 37.73 24.8764 24.88 72.8395 72.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6

118 34.5948 34.59 25.5420 25.54 72.8395 72.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6

117 40.7216 40.72 25.2388 25.24 72.2222 72.2%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8

117 37.3940 37.39 25.6667 25.67 72.2222 72.2%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6

117 34.8577 34.86 25.2670 25.27 72.2222 72.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6

116 38.0737 38.07 26.2222 26.22 71.6049 71.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6

116 35.9784 35.98 25.7388 25.74 71.6049 71.6%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6

115 37.9219 37.92 25.6498 25.65 70.9877 71.0%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6

115 36.9539 36.95 24.9275 24.93 70.9877 71.0%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6

115 33.6475 33.65 25.2494 25.25 70.9877 71.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6

115 28.7178 28.72 25.9752 25.98 †1 71.4286 71.4%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6

114 37.1492 37.15 24.9627 24.96 70.3704 70.4%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6

114 36.1222 36.12 25.2238 25.22 70.3704 70.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5

114 34.0258 34.03 26.6890 26.69 †2 71.2500 71.2%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7

114 30.3181 30.32 25.3969 25.40 70.3704 70.4%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7

113 32.9016 32.90 25.3531 25.35 69.7531 69.8%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6

111 36.2616 36.26 26.4177 26.42 68.5185 68.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6

111 34.8366 34.84 25.5000 25.50 68.5185 68.5%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6

110 34.4637 34.46 26.5802 26.58 67.9012 67.9%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6

110 29.5104 29.51 26.4638 26.46 67.9012 67.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5

109 32.2249 32.22 25.5142 25.51 67.2840 67.3%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7

109 31.7257 31.73 25.9150 25.91 †9 71.2418 71.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6

109 31.4012 31.40 26.7716 26.77 67.2840 67.3%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7

98 34.0496 34.05 26.1642 26.16 †25 71.5328 71.5%

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