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Don’t Stress If Your Team Is 0-2

Posted on April 7, 2017April 10, 2017 by Max Barry

Hurling People Now and The Arc join forces to show that 0-2 is not a death sentence:

Pasted image at 2017_04_06 09_51 PM

It’s quite possible to get out to a slow start and have a successful season, and the conditions seem to be as good in 2017 as they have been in any other recent year.

Source: The Arc/HPN Crossover: Don’t Stress If Your Team Is 0-2 | Hurling People Now

CategoriesHurling People Now, The Arc

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Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.5 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 17.6 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Hawthorn 16.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3
4
Brisbane Lions 15.1 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
5
Geelong 14.5 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
6
Adelaide 14.8 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
7
Melbourne 14.9 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7
8
Collingwood 13.0 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
Western Bulldogs 13.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Carlton 11.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–11
11
St Kilda 10.9 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–11
12
GWS 10.4 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12
13
North Melbourne 9.3 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
Gold Coast 8.7 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Port Adelaide 7.2 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 4.8 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.4 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.5 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 7 games of Round 22, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 18 3 – 143.4%
+1.5
1
2
Sydney 16 5 – 134.0%
+1.6
2
3
Hawthorn 14 6 1 118.2%
+1.5
3
4
Brisbane Lions 14 7 – 117.8%
+1.1
4
5
Adelaide 14 7 – 117.6%
+0.8
6
6
Melbourne 14 7 – 107.6%
+0.9
7
7
Geelong 13 8 – 120.6%
+1.5
5
8
Western Bulldogs 12 9 – 93.9%
+1.1
9
9
Collingwood 11∗ 8 1 105.6%
+1.5
8
10
Carlton 10∗ 10 – 97.0%
+1.4
10
11
St Kilda 9∗ 11 – 104.3%
+1.9
11
12
GWS 9 12 – 98.9%
+1.4
12
13
North Melbourne 9 12 – 90.9%
+0.3
13
14
Gold Coast 8 13 – 95.0%
+0.7
14
15
Port Adelaide 6 15 – 90.2%
+1.2
15
16
West Coast 4∗ 16 – 70.8%
+0.8
16
17
Richmond 3 18 – 63.5%
+0.4
17
18
Essendon 2 19 – 63.2%
+0.5
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 4

141 45.8219 45.82 25.1121 25.11 75.4011 75.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 4

140 31.0605 31.06 25.5242 25.52 74.8663 74.9%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 4

139 47.1951 47.20 25.2122 25.21 74.3316 74.3%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 3

138 45.3373 45.34 24.6569 24.66 73.7968 73.8%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 3

138 44.8742 44.87 26.0856 26.09 73.7968 73.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5

138 42.7152 42.72 25.5594 25.56 73.7968 73.8%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 4

137 46.7168 46.72 25.2103 25.21 73.2620 73.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 4

137 46.6411 46.64 25.2372 25.24 73.2620 73.3%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 4

137 44.6667 44.67 25.2759 25.28 73.2620 73.3%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 4

136 42.9942 42.99 25.6813 25.68 72.7273 72.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 4

135 47.7294 47.73 25.7388 25.74 72.1925 72.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 4

135 45.2804 45.28 26.3957 26.40 72.1925 72.2%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 3

135 44.0147 44.01 25.8503 25.85 72.1925 72.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 4

133 45.3991 45.40 25.8255 25.83 71.1230 71.1%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 4

133 43.7870 43.79 25.5528 25.55 71.1230 71.1%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 5

133 41.9455 41.95 26.2013 26.20 71.1230 71.1%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 3

132 44.5096 44.51 25.3205 25.32 70.5882 70.6%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 4

132 43.5500 43.55 25.3913 25.39 70.5882 70.6%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 4

132 40.4231 40.42 25.4465 25.45 70.5882 70.6%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 4

132 34.1966 34.20 26.5484 26.55 †1 70.9677 71.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 3

131 42.3686 42.37 26.4612 26.46 †3 71.1957 71.2%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 4

131 41.0027 41.00 25.6225 25.62 70.0535 70.1%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 4

131 36.2138 36.21 25.9064 25.91 70.0535 70.1%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 3

128 43.0847 43.08 26.6179 26.62 68.4492 68.4%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4

128 40.5789 40.58 26.7326 26.73 68.4492 68.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 4

128 40.5560 40.56 26.1337 26.13 68.4492 68.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 4

128 38.5183 38.52 26.9198 26.92 68.4492 68.4%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 4

127 36.6893 36.69 26.3371 26.34 †9 71.3483 71.3%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 4

127 34.9377 34.94 27.0756 27.08 67.9144 67.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 3

126 37.8666 37.87 26.1688 26.17 67.3797 67.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 4

116 39.5033 39.50 26.6111 26.61 †25 71.6049 71.6%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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