Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019 by Max Barry

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

CategoriesUncategorized Tagsaflalytics

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious It’s 2019!
Next PostNext Rise of the Machines

Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 18.2 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Adelaide 16.0 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Geelong 16.0 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.7 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Gold Coast 15.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 Western Bulldogs 14.5 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
7
 Hawthorn 14.3 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 GWS 14.0 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
9
 Fremantle 13.8 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 11.3 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Port Adelaide 9.9 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Melbourne 9.3 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 Carlton 8.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
14
 St Kilda 8.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Essendon 8.2 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.3 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 2.7 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 7 games of Round 18, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 14 3 – 136.1%
+4.2
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 12 4 1 116.8%
+3.2
4
3
 Adelaide 12 5 – 136.1%
+4.0
2
4
 Geelong 11 6 – 127.6%
+5.0
3
5
 Gold Coast 11∗ 5 – 121.8%
+4.0
5
6
 Hawthorn 11 6 – 116.8%
+3.3
7
7
 GWS 11 6 – 113.1%
+3.0
8
8
 Fremantle 11 6 – 109.3%
+2.8
9
9
 Western Bulldogs 10 7 – 129.8%
+4.5
6
10
 Sydney 7∗ 9 – 93.4%
+4.3
10
11
 Port Adelaide 7∗ 9 – 87.6%
+2.9
11
12
 Carlton 6 11 – 93.7%
+2.9
13
13
 Melbourne 6 11 – 89.7%
+3.3
12
14
 Essendon 6∗ 10 – 76.5%
+2.2
15
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 11 – 85.7%
+3.2
14
16
 North Melbourne 4 12 1 76.7%
+1.8
16
17
 Richmond 4 13 – 64.4%
+1.3
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 15 – 63.9%
+1.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 4

114 29.42 25.86 76.0%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 4

112 28.21 26.67 74.7%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 4

112 25.34 26.52 74.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 3

111 28.27 25.84 74.0%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 3

111 28.19 25.83 74.0%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 4

111 27.72 25.69 74.0%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 3

110 29.00 25.80 73.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 3

110 28.99 25.69 73.3%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 3

110 28.06 25.75 73.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 2

109 28.22 27.18 72.7%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 3

108 29.21 26.62 72.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 4

108 26.22 26.36 72.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 2

107 29.98 25.37 71.3%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 4

107 27.74 26.08 71.3%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 4

107 25.85 26.47 71.3%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 3

106 29.00 25.44 70.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 4

106 28.79 25.39 70.7%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 2

105 26.17 26.49 70.0%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 2

105 25.15 25.89 70.0%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 3

105 19.51 28.02 70.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 2

104 26.55 26.53 69.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 4

103 24.89 27.15 68.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 4

103 23.69 27.45 68.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 2

101 27.37 26.38 67.3%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 3

100 24.93 26.55 66.7%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 3

100 14.01 28.73 66.7%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 4

99 22.32 27.79 66.0%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 2

97 22.67 27.49 64.7%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.