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Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019 by Max Barry

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

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Wins % Range
1
 Melbourne 15.7 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 15.2 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Sydney 14.3 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
5
 Fremantle 14.3 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Carlton 14.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–8
7
 Richmond 13.3 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–8
8
 Collingwood 13.4 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.4 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Gold Coast 11.9 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–12
11
 St Kilda 11.9 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 Port Adelaide 10.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Adelaide 8.4 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 Hawthorn 8.0 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 GWS 7.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Essendon 6.2 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 West Coast 3.5 60%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 North Melbourne 2.3 57%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 15, 2022.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Melbourne 11 3 – 139.2%
+4.7
1
2
 Geelong 10 4 – 125.6%
+5.2
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 10 4 – 124.9%
+5.0
3
4
 Fremantle 10 4 – 122.6%
+4.3
5
5
 Carlton 10 4 – 114.6%
+4.1
6
6
 Sydney 9 5 – 119.5%
+5.3
4
7
 Collingwood 9 5 – 106.0%
+4.4
8
8
 Western Bulldogs 8 6 – 120.9%
+4.4
9
9
 Richmond 8 6 – 116.2%
+5.3
7
10
 St Kilda 8 6 – 107.3%
+3.9
11
11
 Gold Coast 7 7 – 110.5%
+4.9
10
12
 Port Adelaide 7 7 – 105.1%
+3.9
12
13
 Adelaide 5 9 – 85.5%
+3.4
13
14
 GWS 4 10 – 90.9%
+3.0
15
15
 Hawthorn 4 10 – 85.6%
+4.0
14
16
 Essendon 3 11 – 78.6%
+3.2
16
17
 West Coast 2 12 – 55.8%
+1.5
17
18
 North Melbourne 1 13 – 52.2%
+1.3
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
PlusSixOne

5 6 7 6 7 8 5 7 7 6 8 5 5 5 8

95 16.88 26.84 75.4%
s10

5 6 8 6 6 8 5 7 6 7 7 4 5 4 8

92 21.24 25.66 73.0%
Massey Ratings

5 6 6 6 7 8 5 7 7 6 8 3 5 5 8

92 20.22 26.23 73.0%
Live Ladders

5 6 7 6 6 7 6 7 6 7 7 4 5 5 7

91 22.76 25.79 72.2%
AFLalytics

4 6 6 6 6 8 6 7 7 6 7 4 5 5 8

91 22.59 25.11 72.2%
AFL Lab

4 6 7 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 7 3 5 5 8

91 22.54 25.72 72.2%
The Cruncher

6 6 7 7 5 7 6 7 6 6 6 4 5 5 8

91 17.54 27.26 72.2%
Data by Josh

5 6 7 5 7 8 5 8 6 6 7 3 5 5 7

90 24.13 24.87 71.4%
Squiggle

5 4 7 6 7 8 5 6 6 7 7 5 5 4 8

90 21.46 25.43 71.4%
Graft

5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8

90 19.11 26.20 71.4%
AFL Scorigami

5 7 7 6 6 8 5 7 7 6 7 3 5 4 7

90 18.86 26.47 71.4%
The Flag

6 6 6 4 7 8 6 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 6

89 16.76 26.37 70.6%
Hyperion

5 6 7 5 6 7 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8

89 16.22 26.85 70.6%
Aggregate

5 5 7 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 3 5 4 8

88 20.55 25.70 69.8%
Glicko Ratings

4 5 7 5 6 7 5 7 6 7 7 4 5 5 8

88 17.06 26.94 69.8%
Drop Kick Data

4 6 7 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 3 5 4 8

88 16.88 26.79 69.8%
FMI

5 6 7 6 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 4 5 5 8

88 14.11 26.77 69.8%
Punters

6 5 7 5 7 8 5 6 6 6 7 3 5 4 7

87 22.27 25.16 69.0%
The Footycast

4 6 7 5 6 8 5 7 6 7 7 3 5 4 7

87 20.09 25.59 69.0%
The Wooden Finger

5 6 7 6 5 8 5 7 6 6 6 3 5 5 7

87 15.98 26.99 69.0%
Stattraction

6 5 6 4 6 8 8 6 7 6 6 4 4 4 7

87 13.11 26.79 69.0%
Cheap Stats

6 5 6 4 6 8 5 7 7 6 7 3 5 4 7

86 20.87 26.26 68.3%
Elo Predicts!

6 4 6 4 6 8 5 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 8

86 14.24 26.72 68.3%
Wheelo Ratings

5 4 6 4 6 8 6 6 6 6 8 3 5 4 8

85 23.02 25.14 67.5%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 5 7 8 5 6 6 6 6 4 5 4 7

84 22.79 25.11 66.7%
ZaphBot

5 5 6 4 7 7 5 7 5 6 8 2 3 3 8

81 14.87 27.33 64.3%

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Friends of Squiggle

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  • HPN
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  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
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  • AFL Gains
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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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