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Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019 by Max Barry

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

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Wins % Range
1
 Geelong 16.0 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Brisbane Lions 16.0 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Richmond 16.0 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Collingwood 15.0 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 West Coast 15.0 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 GWS 13.0 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Western Bulldogs 12.0 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Essendon 12.0 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Hawthorn 11.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Port Adelaide 11.0 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Adelaide 10.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 North Melbourne 10.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Fremantle 9.0 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 St Kilda 9.0 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Sydney 8.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Carlton 7.0 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Melbourne 5.0 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Gold Coast 3.0 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 23, 2019.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Geelong 16 6 0 135.7%
+0.0
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 16 6 0 118.3%
+0.0
2
3
 Richmond 16 6 0 113.7%
+0.0
3
4
 Collingwood 15 7 0 117.7%
+0.0
4
5
 West Coast 15 7 0 112.5%
+0.0
5
6
 GWS 13 9 0 115.4%
+0.0
6
7
 Western Bulldogs 12 10 0 107.2%
+0.0
7
8
 Essendon 12 10 0 95.4%
+0.0
8
9
 Hawthorn 11 11 0 108.7%
+0.0
9
10
 Port Adelaide 11 11 0 105.4%
+0.0
10
11
 Adelaide 10 12 0 100.9%
+0.0
11
12
 North Melbourne 10 12 0 99.5%
+0.0
12
13
 Fremantle 9 13 0 91.9%
+0.0
13
14
 St Kilda 9 13 0 83.9%
+0.0
14
15
 Sydney 8 14 0 97.7%
+0.0
15
16
 Carlton 7 15 0 84.5%
+0.0
16
17
 Melbourne 5 17 0 78.6%
+0.0
17
18
 Gold Coast 3 19 0 60.5%
+0.0
18

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Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Massey Ratings

3 3 5 6 5 9 8 5 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 7 7 6 7 8 2 1

137 15.94 27.89 67.2%
The Arc

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 6 5 7 7 5 8 2 1

136 23.37 26.93 66.7%
Punters

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 8 3 8 3 1

136 23.29 26.70 66.7%
Swinburne

3 3 5 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 8 1 1

135 23.19 27.56 66.2%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 4 4 9 7 6 8 6 8 4 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 8 4 8 3 1

135 21.99 26.99 66.2%
Footy Maths Institute

4 3 5 5 5 9 8 7 7 8 7 3 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 5 7 2 1

135 21.47 28.18 66.2%
Graft

5 3 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 5 8 1 1

135 21.08 26.98 66.2%
Stattraction

5 4 6 6 5 9 7 6 8 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 5 8 1 1

135 19.50 28.28 66.2%
Squiggle

5 4 5 4 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 8 3 8 3 1

134 23.44 27.14 65.7%
Live Ladders

4 3 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 5 6 5 7 7 6 8 2 1

133 24.24 26.31 65.2%
AFLalytics

3 2 6 6 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 9 5 8 2 1

132 24.77 26.93 64.7%
Aggregate

3 3 6 4 5 8 7 6 7 7 7 3 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 4 8 2 1

131 23.02 26.77 64.2%
AFL Lab

5 4 7 5 5 8 7 5 7 6 7 3 5 3 5 4 4 4 8 7 7 5 7 1 1

130 20.88 26.97 63.7%
Fat Stats

3 3 4 4 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 7 5 8 2 1

130 11.59 29.95 63.7%
PlusSixOne

4 3 5 4 5 9 7 7 8 7 6 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 4 6 7 3 8

129 16.16 26.82 65.2%
AFL Gains

1 6 5 0 4 7 7 6 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 6 7 7 5 8 3 1

128 12.23 27.72 62.7%
HPN

4 4 5 5 4 8 5 5 8 6 5 2 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 7 8 4 6 4 1

124 4.79 29.69 60.8%

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Friends of Squiggle

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About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.