Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019 by Max Barry

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

CategoriesUncategorized Tagsaflalytics

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious It’s 2019!
Next PostNext Rise of the Machines

Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 16.9 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 15.0 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.2 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Gold Coast 15.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–6
5
 Hawthorn 14.7 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
6
 Western Bulldogs 14.3 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
7
 Adelaide 14.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
8
 GWS 12.8 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Sydney 11.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
10
 Carlton 11.5 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
11
 Fremantle 11.4 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
12
 St Kilda 10.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
13
 Essendon 10.8 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
14
 Port Adelaide 10.1 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Melbourne 8.0 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.2 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 6.3 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.4 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 10, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 8 2 – 129.4%
+8.9
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 7∗ 1 1 112.9%
+7.7
3
3
 Gold Coast 7∗ 2 – 132.0%
+8.0
4
4
 Hawthorn 7 3 – 123.8%
+7.7
5
5
 Adelaide 6 4 – 124.7%
+8.0
7
6
 Western Bulldogs 5∗ 4 – 122.0%
+9.3
6
7
 Geelong 5∗ 4 – 114.4%
+10.0
2
8
 GWS 5∗ 4 – 113.4%
+7.8
8
9
 Essendon 5∗ 3 – 90.8%
+5.8
13
10
 Carlton 4 6 – 106.9%
+7.5
10
11
 Sydney 4 6 – 98.7%
+7.5
9
12
 Fremantle 4∗ 5 – 95.7%
+7.4
11
13
 St Kilda 4∗ 5 – 93.3%
+6.6
12
14
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 5 – 88.6%
+6.1
14
15
 Melbourne 3∗ 6 – 79.4%
+5.0
15
16
 Richmond 3∗ 6 – 66.8%
+3.3
17
17
 North Melbourne 1∗ 7 1 78.2%
+4.7
16
18
 West Coast –∗ 9 – 61.0%
+3.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 3

65 16.63 26.04 78.3%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 3

65 16.38 25.01 78.3%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 3

65 16.08 25.66 78.3%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 3

64 17.02 25.29 77.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 3

63 16.46 25.59 75.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 2

63 15.95 26.22 75.9%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 3

63 15.84 26.83 75.9%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 3

63 15.20 25.74 75.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 3

62 16.09 26.12 74.7%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 3

62 15.70 25.31 74.7%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 2

62 14.98 25.85 74.7%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 2

61 17.19 25.10 73.5%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 3

61 13.53 26.10 73.5%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 3

61 10.93 25.78 73.5%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 3

60 16.52 25.03 72.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 2

60 14.76 26.62 72.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 2

60 13.69 27.83 72.3%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 2

60 12.90 26.92 72.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 3

60 12.38 26.81 72.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 3

59 16.36 24.91 71.1%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 2

59 12.60 27.14 71.1%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 2

57 12.13 27.33 68.7%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 2

57 7.46 29.04 68.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 3

56 13.54 26.99 67.5%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 2

56 11.16 27.63 67.5%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 2

55 11.97 27.92 66.3%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 2

55 11.91 27.13 66.3%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 2

55 6.91 28.55 66.3%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.