Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019 by Max Barry

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

CategoriesUncategorized Tagsaflalytics

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious It’s 2019!
Next PostNext Rise of the Machines

Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 15.2 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
2
 Brisbane Lions 14.3 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
3
 Geelong 14.1 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Hawthorn 13.7 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
5
 Gold Coast 13.8 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–6
6
 Adelaide 13.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–10
7
 GWS 13.2 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–10
8
 Collingwood 13.1 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
9
 Sydney 12.7 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
10
 Fremantle 12.3 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
11
 Melbourne 10.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 St Kilda 10.4 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
13
 Carlton 9.9 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Port Adelaide 9.4 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 North Melbourne 8.9 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–16
16
 Essendon 7.9 80%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 7.6 80%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
18
 West Coast 6.9 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After 2 games of Round 1, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 1∗ – – 191.3%
+11.7
9
2
 Gold Coast 1∗ – – 181.2%
+12.8
5
3
 GWS 1∗ – – 128.4%
+12.2
7
4
 Collingwood 1∗ – – 118.2%
+12.1
8
5
 Hawthorn 1 1 – 117.1%
+12.7
4
6
 Western Bulldogs 1∗ – – 104.7%
+14.2
1
7
 Carlton 1 1 – 70.9%
+8.9
13
8
 Brisbane Lions –∗ 1 – 95.5%
+14.3
2
9
 Richmond –∗ 1 – 94.7%
+7.6
17
10
 St Kilda –∗ 1 – 84.6%
+10.4
12
11
 Essendon –∗ 1 – 57.2%
+7.9
16
12
 Geelong –∗ 1 – 55.2%
+14.1
3
13
 Adelaide –∗ – –
+13.0
6
14
 Fremantle –∗ – –
+12.3
10
15
 Melbourne –∗ – –
+10.6
11
16
 North Melbourne –∗ – –
+8.9
15
17
 Port Adelaide –∗ – –
+9.4
14
18
 West Coast –∗ – –
+6.9
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
HBin

4 2

6 1.9146 1.91 29.2000 29.20 85.7143 85.7%
AFLalytics

4 2

6 1.5495 1.55 27.4500 27.45 85.7143 85.7%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 2

6 0.8248 0.82 27.6829 27.68 85.7143 85.7%
Graft

3 2

5 1.9175 1.92 28.5714 28.57 71.4286 71.4%
What Snoo Thinks

3 2

5 1.5901 1.59 24.9071 24.91 71.4286 71.4%
Matter of Stats

3 2

5 1.5137 1.51 28.1343 28.13 71.4286 71.4%
Glicko Ratings

3 2

5 1.4860 1.49 29.0129 29.01 71.4286 71.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 2

5 1.4323 1.43 30.4286 30.43 71.4286 71.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 2

5 1.3645 1.36 27.2343 27.23 71.4286 71.4%
footycharts

3 2

5 1.2327 1.23 27.7986 27.80 71.4286 71.4%
Hyperion

3 2

5 1.2323 1.23 28.7143 28.71 71.4286 71.4%
Drop Kick Data

3 2

5 1.2131 1.21 26.4071 26.41 71.4286 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

3 2

5 0.6365 0.64 29.2571 29.26 71.4286 71.4%
The Cruncher

2 2

4 1.6974 1.70 27.4700 27.47 57.1429 57.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 2

4 1.6066 1.61 31.0529 31.05 57.1429 57.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 2

4 1.5317 1.53 27.1429 27.14 57.1429 57.1%
Stattraction

2 2

4 1.4950 1.50 30.4957 30.50 57.1429 57.1%
Informed Stats

2 2

4 1.3034 1.30 32.8571 32.86 57.1429 57.1%
Aggregate

2 2

4 1.2820 1.28 28.7071 28.71 57.1429 57.1%
s10

2 2

4 1.2758 1.28 29.1600 29.16 57.1429 57.1%
Massey Ratings

2 2

4 1.2374 1.24 31.0714 31.07 57.1429 57.1%
The Footycast

2 2

4 1.1683 1.17 31.3000 31.30 57.1429 57.1%
Live Ladders

2 2

4 0.9446 0.94 28.2857 28.29 57.1429 57.1%
PlusSixOne

2 2

4 0.9397 0.94 29.7286 29.73 57.1429 57.1%
In The Game

2 2

4 0.9178 0.92 29.1129 29.11 57.1429 57.1%
Punters

2 2

4 0.8864 0.89 29.7329 29.73 57.1429 57.1%
AFL Lab

2 2

4 0.6115 0.61 34.0014 34.00 57.1429 57.1%
ZaphBot

2 2

4 0.5805 0.58 37.7143 37.71 57.1429 57.1%
Cheap Stats

3 1

4 0.1011 0.10 30.1429 30.14 57.1429 57.1%
Squiggle

1 2

3 0.6042 0.60 33.6329 33.63 42.8571 42.9%
Winnable

1 2

3 0.2575 0.26 34.7300 34.73 42.8571 42.9%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.