Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

The Tips Are Coming In

Posted on September 27, 2017September 27, 2017 by Max Barry

We have our first computer model Tiger tip! It’s from Matter of Stats.

Matter of Stats post on the tip.

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute, Matter of Stats, Squiggle

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Squiggle on Preliminary Finals & Grand Final Preview
Next PostNext Squiggle on Grand Final 2017

Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 16.2 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
2
 Brisbane Lions 16.1 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Geelong 15.4 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Hawthorn 15.2 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
5
 Adelaide 14.3 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 Western Bulldogs 14.3 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
7
 Gold Coast 14.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
8
 GWS 12.4 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
9
 Carlton 11.6 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–12
10
 Sydney 11.3 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
11
 Fremantle 11.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
12
 St Kilda 10.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
13
 Essendon 10.5 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Port Adelaide 10.3 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
15
 Melbourne 8.0 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Richmond 6.1 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 North Melbourne 5.5 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.5 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 6 games of Round 9, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 7 2 – 131.0%
+9.2
1
2
 Hawthorn 7 2 – 128.7%
+8.2
4
3
 Brisbane Lions 7∗ 1 – 114.4%
+9.1
2
4
 Gold Coast 6∗ 2 – 135.7%
+8.3
7
5
 Adelaide 6 3 – 128.8%
+8.3
5
6
 Western Bulldogs 5 4 – 122.0%
+9.3
6
7
 Geelong 5∗ 3 – 117.4%
+10.4
3
8
 Essendon 5∗ 3 – 90.8%
+5.5
13
9
 GWS 4∗ 4 – 115.0%
+8.4
8
10
 Carlton 4 5 – 110.0%
+7.6
9
11
 Fremantle 4 5 – 95.7%
+7.0
11
12
 St Kilda 4 5 – 93.3%
+6.8
12
13
 Port Adelaide 4 5 – 88.6%
+6.3
14
14
 Sydney 3 6 – 96.4%
+8.3
10
15
 Melbourne 3 6 – 79.4%
+5.0
15
16
 Richmond 2∗ 6 – 63.4%
+4.1
16
17
 North Melbourne 1∗ 7 – 76.4%
+4.5
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 8 – 57.7%
+3.5
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 4

60 17.07 26.63 77.9%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6

60 16.32 25.89 77.9%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 4

60 16.01 26.64 77.9%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 4

59 17.08 26.18 76.6%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 6

59 15.82 27.23 76.6%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 4

58 16.41 26.47 75.3%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 3

58 16.23 27.82 75.3%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 4

58 15.25 26.63 75.3%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 4

58 15.17 26.72 75.3%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 4

57 17.76 25.80 74.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 5

57 15.85 26.97 74.0%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 4

57 15.50 26.22 74.0%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 4

56 14.83 27.35 72.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 4

56 14.79 28.36 72.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 5

56 13.50 27.04 72.7%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 4

56 13.30 27.89 72.7%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 4

56 11.06 26.58 72.7%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 5

55 16.99 25.89 71.4%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 3

55 13.14 27.91 71.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 4

55 12.36 27.84 71.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 4

54 16.80 25.65 70.1%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 4

53 12.28 28.25 68.8%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 4

53 7.56 29.96 68.8%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 4

52 10.85 28.62 67.5%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 3

51 13.54 27.94 66.2%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 4

51 12.36 28.23 66.2%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 3

51 11.92 28.77 66.2%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 3

51 6.54 30.09 66.2%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.