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Sydney’s Path to the Finals

Posted on July 27, 2017 by Max Barry

The Swans are taking perhaps the weirdest path to the finals ever https://t.co/6TZAnJDmZQ pic.twitter.com/q7FM3dkkYj

— The Arc (@TheArcFooty) July 26, 2017

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.1 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.2 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.9 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Geelong 14.6 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Adelaide 14.6 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Brisbane Lions 13.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Western Bulldogs 13.1 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Melbourne 12.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Gold Coast 11.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
10
 Collingwood 11.1 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
11
 Carlton 11.0 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
12
 St Kilda 10.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
13
 North Melbourne 10.4 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
14
 GWS 9.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 7.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.6 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 4.0 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Essendon 3.4 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After 2 games of Round 16, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 13∗ 1 – 144.4%
+6.1
1
2
 Sydney 12 3 – 135.7%
+5.2
2
3
 Hawthorn 10 4 1 113.7%
+5.4
3
4
 Geelong 9 6 – 120.6%
+5.6
4
5
 Adelaide 9∗ 5 – 113.2%
+5.6
5
6
 Brisbane Lions 9 6 – 111.0%
+4.7
6
7
 Melbourne 9 6 – 104.2%
+3.9
8
8
 Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 92.8%
+4.1
7
9
 Gold Coast 7∗ 7 – 105.3%
+4.0
9
10
 North Melbourne 7∗ 7 – 90.7%
+3.4
13
11
 Collingwood 6∗ 7 1 101.6%
+4.6
10
12
 St Kilda 6 9 – 100.6%
+4.4
12
13
 GWS 6 9 – 99.3%
+3.9
14
14
 Carlton 6∗ 8 – 91.1%
+5.0
11
15
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 10 – 98.6%
+3.9
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 10 – 72.7%
+2.6
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 12 – 61.3%
+2.0
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 13 – 70.4%
+2.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 2

100 30.7519 30.75 25.4260 25.43 76.9231 76.9%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 1

98 30.3764 30.38 24.9583 24.96 75.3846 75.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 1

98 20.8101 20.81 25.6928 25.69 75.3846 75.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 2

96 31.0317 31.03 26.1615 26.16 73.8462 73.8%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

96 30.9447 30.94 25.6652 25.67 73.8462 73.8%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 2

95 32.0062 32.01 25.4342 25.43 73.0769 73.1%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 2

95 29.8052 29.81 25.8782 25.88 73.0769 73.1%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

95 29.5660 29.57 25.5675 25.57 73.0769 73.1%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 2

95 26.6008 26.60 26.3084 26.31 73.0769 73.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

94 31.8102 31.81 25.9762 25.98 72.3077 72.3%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 1

94 28.1565 28.16 25.7822 25.78 72.3077 72.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 1

93 29.3729 29.37 27.4077 27.41 71.5385 71.5%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

93 29.3631 29.36 26.2673 26.27 71.5385 71.5%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 2

92 29.8687 29.87 26.6558 26.66 70.7692 70.8%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 2

92 26.9856 26.99 25.8223 25.82 70.7692 70.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 1

92 25.0934 25.09 27.5295 27.53 †1 71.3178 71.3%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 2

91 29.7813 29.78 25.7548 25.75 70.0000 70.0%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 2

91 29.6959 29.70 25.4557 25.46 70.0000 70.0%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 2

91 28.9940 28.99 26.6385 26.64 70.0000 70.0%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 1

91 28.3844 28.38 25.9175 25.92 70.0000 70.0%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 2

89 28.0579 28.06 27.3602 27.36 68.4615 68.5%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 2

89 23.1775 23.18 26.2877 26.29 68.4615 68.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 1

88 27.6941 27.69 26.0077 26.01 67.6923 67.7%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 1

88 24.9157 24.92 25.9885 25.99 67.6923 67.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 1

88 23.8541 23.85 26.9472 26.95 67.6923 67.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 1

87 26.5058 26.51 27.5154 27.52 66.9231 66.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 1

87 25.6904 25.69 26.1992 26.20 66.9231 66.9%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5

87 22.0907 22.09 26.9587 26.96 †9 71.9008 71.9%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 2

86 22.5639 22.56 26.7923 26.79 66.1538 66.2%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 1

84 23.4346 23.43 26.6446 26.64 †9 69.4215 69.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

74 23.9598 23.96 27.2048 27.20 †25 70.4762 70.5%

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