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Sydney’s Path to the Finals

Posted on July 27, 2017 by Max Barry

The Swans are taking perhaps the weirdest path to the finals ever https://t.co/6TZAnJDmZQ pic.twitter.com/q7FM3dkkYj

— The Arc (@TheArcFooty) July 26, 2017

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Port Adelaide 12.0 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
2
 Geelong 11.4 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Collingwood 10.7 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 10.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
5
 Richmond 10.0 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
6
 Essendon 9.8 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–10
7
 GWS 9.7 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
8
 Hawthorn 9.4 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
9
 Western Bulldogs 8.6 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
10
 St Kilda 8.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–12
11
 Carlton 8.3 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–12
12
 West Coast 8.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
13
 Melbourne 6.9 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–16
14
 North Melbourne 6.8 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–16
15
 Sydney 6.6 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–17
16
 Fremantle 6.4 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–17
17
 Gold Coast 6.1 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–17
18
 Adelaide 3.0 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 6, 2020.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Port Adelaide 5 1 – 164.6%
+7.0
1
2
 Geelong 4 2 – 125.2%
+7.4
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 4 2 – 116.5%
+6.7
4
4
 Essendon 4∗ 1 – 114.1%
+5.8
6
5
 Collingwood 3 2 1 142.2%
+7.7
3
6
 Richmond 3 2 1 100.3%
+7.0
5
7
 St Kilda 3 3 – 108.0%
+5.3
10
8
 Carlton 3 3 – 102.9%
+5.3
11
9
 Gold Coast 3 3 – 102.4%
+3.1
17
10
 GWS 3 3 – 101.8%
+6.7
7
11
 West Coast 3 3 – 92.7%
+5.0
12
12
 Western Bulldogs 3 3 – 89.1%
+5.6
9
13
 Hawthorn 3 3 – 84.4%
+6.4
8
14
 Fremantle 2 4 – 91.2%
+4.4
16
15
 Melbourne 2∗ 3 – 87.8%
+4.9
13
16
 North Melbourne 2 4 – 85.9%
+4.8
14
17
 Sydney 2 4 – 84.0%
+4.6
15
18
 Adelaide – 6 – 53.0%
+3.0
18

∗ Yet to play

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Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
PlusSixOne

8 5 3 6 7 8

37 3.05 23.72 69.8%
AFLalytics

7 5 4 6 7 6

35 4.11 22.78 66.0%
Squiggle

7 5 5 5 7 6

35 2.72 23.25 66.0%
Punters

7 5 4 5 8 6

35 1.85 23.98 66.0%
Swinburne

8 4 3 5 5 7

32 2.64 25.02 60.4%
Aggregate

7 4 4 4 6 7

32 1.73 24.00 60.4%
AFL_GO

6 4 4 4 7 7

32 1.21 22.68 60.4%
Footy Maths Institute

8 5 3 4 6 6

32 0.06 28.09 60.4%
Matter of Stats

6 5 4 4 5 7

31 1.09 23.90 58.5%
Graft

7 4 3 4 6 7

31 0.64 24.75 58.5%
Live Ladders

8 6 3 4 5 4

30 1.95 23.57 56.6%
AFL Lab

5 4 4 6 4 7

30 -0.61 24.68 56.6%
Stattraction

7 5 3 4 6 5

30 -1.41 25.56 56.6%
The Flag

8 4 4 4 3 6

29 -3.77 25.30 54.7%
The Arc

8 3 3 4 4 6

28 -2.18 27.47 52.8%
Massey Ratings

7 3 3 4 3 7

27 0.52 25.59 52.9%

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