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Sydney’s Path to the Finals

Posted on July 27, 2017 by Max Barry

The Swans are taking perhaps the weirdest path to the finals ever https://t.co/6TZAnJDmZQ pic.twitter.com/q7FM3dkkYj

— The Arc (@TheArcFooty) July 26, 2017

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Adelaide 16.7 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Collingwood 17.0 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Brisbane Lions 16.4 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
4
 Geelong 15.9 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Gold Coast 14.8 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
6
 GWS 14.8 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
7
 Fremantle 14.9 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
8
 Hawthorn 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
9
 Western Bulldogs 13.8 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 11.6 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Port Adelaide 9.8 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Carlton 9.1 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Melbourne 8.4 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 St Kilda 7.7 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
15
 Essendon 7.5 74%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.1 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 6.2 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 1.8 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 1 game of Round 20, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 14∗ 4 – 133.7%
+3.0
2
2
 Brisbane Lions 13∗ 4 1 116.6%
+2.9
3
3
 Adelaide 13∗ 5 – 139.6%
+3.7
1
4
 Hawthorn 13 6 – 119.9%
+1.5
8
5
 Geelong 12∗ 6 – 128.2%
+3.9
4
6
 GWS 12∗ 6 – 116.0%
+2.8
6
7
 Fremantle 12∗ 6 – 108.9%
+2.9
7
8
 Gold Coast 11∗ 6 – 115.5%
+3.8
5
9
 Western Bulldogs 10∗ 8 – 127.4%
+3.8
9
10
 Sydney 9∗ 9 – 96.5%
+2.6
10
11
 Port Adelaide 8∗ 10 – 88.0%
+1.8
11
12
 Carlton 7 12 – 93.3%
+2.1
12
13
 Melbourne 6∗ 12 – 89.7%
+2.4
13
14
 Essendon 6∗ 11 – 75.0%
+1.5
15
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 13 – 85.3%
+2.7
14
16
 Richmond 5∗ 13 – 68.5%
+1.2
17
17
 North Melbourne 4∗ 13 1 76.1%
+1.6
16
18
 West Coast 1∗ 17 – 63.6%
+0.8
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 1

122 32.70 25.30 75.3%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 1

121 28.03 25.88 74.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 1

120 32.60 25.07 74.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 1

120 32.36 25.03 74.1%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 1

120 31.62 25.08 74.1%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 1

120 31.40 25.15 74.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 1

120 30.90 25.99 74.1%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 1

119 32.24 25.23 73.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 1

119 31.30 25.05 73.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 1

116 32.79 25.92 71.6%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 1

116 30.47 26.56 71.6%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 1

116 29.67 25.70 71.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 1

116 28.45 25.82 71.6%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 1

115 33.81 24.75 71.0%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 1

115 30.92 25.50 71.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 1

114 32.69 24.81 70.4%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 1

114 32.47 24.78 70.4%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 1

114 27.80 25.57 70.4%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 1

113 28.96 25.83 69.8%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 1

113 21.97 27.33 69.8%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 1

112 28.49 26.05 69.1%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 1

112 26.95 26.64 69.1%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 1

111 31.27 25.58 68.5%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 1

111 26.05 26.80 68.5%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 1

110 28.08 25.83 67.9%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 1

110 26.51 27.02 67.9%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 1

109 15.90 28.13 67.3%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 1

104 24.53 27.00 64.2%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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