Port Adelaide v Adelaide
2022-08-20 19:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

16.15

111

7.13

55

Port Adelaide won by 56 points

IN

Gray

Bonner

OUT

IN

Milera

McAdam

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		71%	19 points	✓	37.1	0.50
		82%	26 points	✓	30.5	0.70
		80%	28 points	✓	28.2	0.68
		80%	25 points	✓	31.0	0.68
		75%	22 points	✓	34.0	0.58
		74%	24 points	✓	32.0	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	35.5	0.56
Punters		73%	20 points	✓	35.7	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	34.9	0.55
		72%	16 points	✓	40.0	0.52
		71%	18 points	✓	38.0	0.50
		71%	21 points	✓	35.5	0.50
		70%	22 points	✓	34.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	37.0	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	38.0	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	38.0	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	38.1	0.47
s10		69%	18 points	✓	38.1	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	40.2	0.46
		68%	20 points	✓	36.4	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	41.0	0.44
		67%	18 points	✓	38.3	0.43
		66%	16 points	✓	39.8	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	40.0	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	45.0	0.34
		57%	6 points	✓	50.4	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.