Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
2022-08-21 13:10:00 +10:00
York Park

10.4

64

12.15

87

Western Bulldogs won by 23 points

IN

Saunders

Long

Lynch

Macdonald

Howe

Shiels

Impey

Koschitzke

Jeka

Serong

OUT

IN

Smith

Bruce

Duryea

McNeil

West

Martin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	10.6	0.35
		73%	21 points	✓	2.0	0.55
		71%	17 points	✓	5.6	0.50
Punters		70%	18 points	✓	5.0	0.48
		68%	16 points	✓	7.0	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	8.0	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	8.5	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	9.3	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	8.0	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	9.8	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	9.9	0.36
		64%	17 points	✓	6.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	12.2	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	12.1	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	13.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	9.9	0.33
s10		62%	11 points	✓	11.9	0.31
		62%	13 points	✓	10.1	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	13.5	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	14.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	14.0	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	13.8	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	14.0	0.25
		58%	9 points	✓	14.5	0.22
		52%	1 point	✗	24.0	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.