Geelong v West Coast
2022-08-20 16:35:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

19.17

131

7.4

46

Geelong won by 85 points

IN

Ratugolea

Ceglar

O'Connor

Smith

Cameron

Stanley

Atkins

Menegola

OUT

IN

Culley

Rioli

Williams

Kelly

Naitanui

Gaff

Waterman

Hough

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		94%	62 points	✓	22.5	0.91
		99%	95 points	✓	10.4	0.99
		99%	53 points	✓	32.0	0.99
		99%	85 points	✓	0.0	0.99
		99%	73 points	✓	11.8	0.99
		98%	75 points	✓	9.7	0.98
		98%	76 points	✓	9.0	0.97
		98%	77 points	✓	8.0	0.97
		98%	64 points	✓	20.7	0.97
Punters		97%	66 points	✓	19.3	0.95
		96%	58 points	✓	27.0	0.94
		96%	51 points	✓	34.5	0.93
		95%	65 points	✓	20.0	0.92
s10		95%	63 points	✓	22.1	0.92
		94%	58 points	✓	27.0	0.91
		94%	49 points	✓	36.0	0.91
		94%	54 points	✓	31.0	0.91
		94%	48 points	✓	37.1	0.90
		94%	58 points	✓	27.0	0.90
		93%	64 points	✓	21.1	0.89
		91%	51 points	✓	34.4	0.87
		90%	60 points	✓	25.0	0.85
		89%	58 points	✓	27.4	0.82
		86%	46 points	✓	39.4	0.78
		84%	43 points	✓	42.2	0.75
		80%	73 points	✓	12.0	0.68

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.