Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
Gabba
8.9
57
18.7
115
Melbourne won by 58 points
IN
Bowey
Harmes
Salem
Jordon
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 64.4 | -0.25 |
|
|
69% | 1 point | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.70 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 67.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 65.9 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 66.3 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 64.5 | -0.20 |
|
s10
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 63.1 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 62.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 60.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 60.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.