Greater Western Sydney v Fremantle
Manuka Oval
10.9
69
13.11
89
Fremantle won by 20 points
IN
Peatling
Taranto
Bruhn
Keeffe
OUT
IN
Meek
Banfield
Fyfe
Lobb
Logue
Tucker
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.26 | |
86% | 35 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.79 | ||
Punters
|
68% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.44 | |
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.41 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 9.9 | 0.32 | ||
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.31 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.25 | ||
s10
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.25 | |
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.24 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.18 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.17 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.15 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.05 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.03 | ||
50% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.00 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.7 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.