Essendon v Richmond
M.C.G.
11.9
75
21.15
141
Richmond won by 66 points
IN
Hurley
Reid
Langford
Bryan
OUT
IN
Ross
Graham
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.44 | |
88% | 39 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.81 | ||
85% | 31 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.76 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.58 | ||
Punters
|
73% | 23 points | ✓ | 42.7 | 0.55 | |
73% | 19 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.55 | ||
72% | 18 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.52 | ||
70% | 23 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 47.5 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.45 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.45 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 47.6 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.42 | ||
s10
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 50.5 | 0.41 | |
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 53.2 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 49.8 | 0.37 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 53.1 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 55.1 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.33 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 55.5 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 54.3 | 0.30 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 55.5 | 0.30 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.