Adelaide v Melbourne
2022-07-02 16:35:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.5

65

14.10

94

Melbourne won by 29 points

IN

Thilthorpe

Murphy

Jones

McHenry

McAdam

Hamill

OUT

IN

Brown

Jackson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		73%	23 points	✓	6.4	0.55
		85%	39 points	✓	10.0	0.77
		83%	33 points	✓	4.0	0.73
		80%	28 points	✓	1.0	0.69
		80%	33 points	✓	4.0	0.68
Punters		80%	27 points	✓	1.8	0.67
		80%	28 points	✓	1.5	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	1.0	0.66
		77%	27 points	✓	2.0	0.63
		77%	23 points	✓	5.6	0.62
		75%	25 points	✓	3.9	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	6.0	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	6.0	0.57
		73%	23 points	✓	6.5	0.55
		71%	23 points	✓	6.0	0.51
		70%	22 points	✓	7.0	0.50
		70%	21 points	✓	8.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	11.8	0.49
s10		70%	19 points	✓	10.0	0.48
		69%	14 points	✓	14.6	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	14.1	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	13.0	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	14.5	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	15.0	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	12.4	0.40
		61%	9 points	✓	20.4	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.