Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs
Gabba
16.12
108
9.13
67
Brisbane Lions won by 41 points
IN
Ah Chee
Bailey
Zorko
Robinson
Robertson
Berry
OUT
IN
Bedendo
Hunter
Daniel
Richards
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 30.4 | 0.32 | |
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 23.4 | 0.50 | ||
Punters
|
71% | 17 points | ✓ | 23.6 | 0.50 | |
70% | 3 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 16 points | ✓ | 24.7 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 22.4 | 0.45 | ||
67% | 19 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.42 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 27.4 | 0.39 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 29.7 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.33 | ||
s10
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.31 | |
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 30.1 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 32.5 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.25 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 10 points | ✓ | 31.4 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 33.7 | 0.23 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 36.5 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.13 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.