Geelong v North Melbourne
2022-07-02 19:25:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

21.18

144

5.2

32

Geelong won by 112 points

IN

Narkle

Rohan

Dangerfield

Selwood

Stewart

De Koning

OUT

IN

Lazzaro

Bosenavulagi

Young

Mahony

Thomas

Scott

Bonar

Archer

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		92%	56 points	✓	56.5	0.88
		99%	86 points	✓	26.0	0.98
		98%	71 points	✓	40.6	0.97
		98%	72 points	✓	40.0	0.97
Punters		97%	66 points	✓	46.3	0.96
		97%	62 points	✓	50.5	0.96
		96%	66 points	✓	46.2	0.95
		96%	63 points	✓	49.0	0.94
		96%	56 points	✓	55.8	0.94
		96%	51 points	✓	61.5	0.93
		95%	54 points	✓	58.0	0.93
		95%	50 points	✓	62.0	0.93
		94%	51 points	✓	61.0	0.91
		93%	55 points	✓	57.0	0.89
s10		93%	52 points	✓	59.8	0.89
		92%	63 points	✓	49.3	0.88
		92%	54 points	✓	58.0	0.87
		91%	46 points	✓	65.7	0.86
		91%	47 points	✓	65.0	0.86
		90%	48 points	✓	63.8	0.85
		90%	46 points	✓	66.0	0.85
		89%	40 points	✓	71.9	0.84
		85%	43 points	✓	68.9	0.76
		82%	39 points	✓	73.4	0.72
		82%	35 points	✓	76.7	0.71
		80%	69 points	✓	43.0	0.68

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.