Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
2022-07-03 15:20:00 +10:00
Sydney Showground

11.6

72

7.8

50

Greater Western Sydney won by 22 points

IN

Brown

Flynn

Keeffe

Riccardi

OUT

IN

Gunston

Day

Shiels

Howe

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		63%	11 points	✓	10.7	0.34
		73%	20 points	✓	2.0	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	1.0	0.53
		72%	18 points	✓	4.0	0.53
		70%	5 points	✓	17.0	0.48
		67%	14 points	✓	7.6	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	7.7	0.42
Punters		66%	12 points	✓	9.6	0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	8.3	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	10.1	0.37
		64%	14 points	✓	8.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	11.1	0.34
s10		63%	12 points	✓	10.4	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	11.0	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	11.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	12.0	0.30
		62%	10 points	✓	12.5	0.30
		61%	12 points	✓	10.5	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	12.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	13.4	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	13.5	0.27
		60%	11 points	✓	11.0	0.26
		60%	10 points	✓	12.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	13.5	0.24
		55%	5 points	✓	16.8	0.14
		52%	2 points	✓	20.3	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.