Carlton v St Kilda
Docklands
10.18
78
14.9
93
St Kilda won by 15 points
IN
Cerra
Boyd
OUT
IN
Wood
Higgins
Ryder
Hill
Long
Byrnes
Paton
Sharman
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.30 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.13 |
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.