Gold Coast v Collingwood
Carrara
8.14
62
9.13
67
Collingwood won by 5 points
IN
Tsitas
Oea
Budarick
Farrar
Burgess
Davies
OUT
IN
Ruscoe
De Goey
Howe
Chugg
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.29 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.77 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
63% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.7 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.4 | -0.25 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.19 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 5.4 | -0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.