Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
9.15
69
14.6
90
St Kilda won by 21 points
IN
Thilthorpe
Murphy
Sholl
Himmelberg
OUT
IN
Windhager
Wanganeen-Milera
Steele
Higgins
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.36 | |
73% | 20 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.55 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.51 | ||
Punters
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.47 | |
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 20 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 21 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 17 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.9 | 0.36 | ||
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.32 | ||
s10
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.30 | |
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.25 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.18 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.8 | 0.05 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.9 | -0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.