Richmond v Essendon
2022-05-21 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.14

80

7.6

48

Richmond won by 32 points

IN

Gibcus

Tarrant

Ross

Edwards

Graham

Balta

Pickett

Nyuon

OUT

IN

Waterman

Smith

Ridley

Caldwell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		70%	19 points	✓	13.5	0.48
		83%	32 points	✓	0.0	0.73
Punters		78%	27 points	✓	5.3	0.65
		76%	23 points	✓	8.9	0.61
		75%	23 points	✓	8.8	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	9.7	0.57
		74%	27 points	✓	5.0	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	10.5	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	10.0	0.55
		73%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.54
		71%	17 points	✓	15.0	0.51
		70%	21 points	✓	10.8	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	16.1	0.46
		67%	14 points	✓	18.2	0.43
s10		67%	16 points	✓	15.9	0.43
		66%	16 points	✓	16.0	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	15.5	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	17.0	0.40
		64%	11 points	✓	20.7	0.35
		63%	14 points	✓	18.1	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	21.9	0.30
		61%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.29
		59%	10 points	✓	22.1	0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.