North Melbourne v Melbourne
2022-05-21 16:35:00 +10:00
Docklands

8.5

53

14.16

100

Melbourne won by 47 points

IN

Horne-Francis

Xerri

Greenwood

Simpkin

Stephenson

Mahony

Coleman-Jones

Bosenavulagi

OUT

IN

Melksham

Dunstan

Viney

Harmes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		91%	53 points	✓	6.2	0.86
		98%	81 points	✓	34.0	0.97
		98%	76 points	✓	29.0	0.97
		98%	72 points	✓	25.0	0.97
		96%	52 points	✓	5.0	0.94
Punters		96%	65 points	✓	17.6	0.94
		96%	55 points	✓	8.1	0.94
		95%	59 points	✓	12.0	0.93
		95%	55 points	✓	8.0	0.92
		94%	61 points	✓	14.0	0.91
		94%	48 points	✓	0.6	0.91
		94%	47 points	✓	0.5	0.90
		93%	61 points	✓	14.5	0.90
		93%	49 points	✓	2.4	0.90
s10		93%	51 points	✓	4.5	0.89
		93%	50 points	✓	3.0	0.89
		92%	48 points	✓	1.5	0.88
		90%	46 points	✓	1.0	0.85
		90%	47 points	✓	0.2	0.84
		87%	47 points	✓	0.2	0.80
		86%	46 points	✓	1.3	0.78
		86%	45 points	✓	2.1	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	10.0	0.76
		80%	67 points	✓	20.0	0.68
		79%	33 points	✓	14.5	0.65
		70%	31 points	✓	16.0	0.49

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.