Carlton v Sydney
Docklands
15.12
102
13.9
87
Carlton won by 15 points
IN
Stocker
Young
Cottrell
Williams
Newnes
Kemp
OUT
IN
O'Riordan
Rowbottom
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.09 |
|
|
76% | 22 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -0.39 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 18 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 15.0 | 0.00 |
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.09 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.20 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.30 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.