Geelong v Port Adelaide
2022-05-21 13:45:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

11.16

82

7.5

47

Geelong won by 35 points

IN

Stephens

Evans

Bews

Rohan

Stanley

Miers

Narkle

Knevitt

OUT

IN

Dumont

Jonas

Duursma

Frederick

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		65%	13 points	✓	21.6	0.38
		78%	27 points	✓	8.0	0.64
		75%	23 points	✓	12.1	0.58
		75%	8 points	✓	27.0	0.58
		73%	25 points	✓	9.5	0.54
		71%	17 points	✓	18.0	0.51
		68%	19 points	✓	15.6	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	20.1	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	20.6	0.43
Punters		66%	13 points	✓	21.7	0.41
		66%	18 points	✓	17.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	20.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	20.0	0.40
		66%	16 points	✓	19.0	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	21.0	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	22.0	0.38
s10		65%	14 points	✓	21.3	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	22.9	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	22.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	23.8	0.35
		59%	7 points	✓	28.1	0.23
		58%	5 points	✓	30.5	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	29.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	28.0	0.19
		56%	4 points	✓	30.7	0.16
		52%	2 points	✓	32.8	0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.