Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions

York Park
18.9
117
17.10
112

Hawthorn won by 5 points

IN
Howe
Jiath
Shiels
Mitchell
Scrimshaw
Worpel
Gunston
Maginness
OUT
IN
Fullarton
Adams
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
71% 21 points 25.9-0.81
Elo Predicts!
Brisbane Lions
97% 53 points 58.0-3.89
The Flag
Brisbane Lions
82% 31 points 36.0-1.48
The Footycast
Brisbane Lions
78% 32 points 36.5-1.16
FMI
Brisbane Lions
77% 23 points 28.0-1.12
Data by Josh
Brisbane Lions
76% 26 points 31.0-1.06
Glicko Ratings
Brisbane Lions
76% 23 points 27.6-1.04
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
74% 20 points 25.0-0.92
AFL Scorigami
Brisbane Lions
72% 21 points 25.9-0.84
Drop Kick Data
Brisbane Lions
71% 20 points 25.0-0.80
The Wooden Finger
Brisbane Lions
71% 20 points 25.0-0.79
Punters
Brisbane Lions
71% 19 points 23.6-0.78
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
71% 24 points 29.0-0.76
Wheelo Ratings
Brisbane Lions
70% 17 points 21.8-0.73
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
70% 19 points 23.5-0.71
Hyperion
Brisbane Lions
69% 18 points 23.0-0.71
The Cruncher
Brisbane Lions
69% 18 points 22.7-0.68
Graft
Brisbane Lions
68% 18 points 23.0-0.66
Cheap Stats
Brisbane Lions
68% 20 points 25.0-0.64
s10
Brisbane Lions
68% 17 points 21.6-0.63
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
67% 14 points 19.4-0.58
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
66% 14 points 19.0-0.54
ZaphBot
Brisbane Lions
65% 16 points 21.0-0.51
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
64% 12 points 16.8-0.48
PlusSixOne
Brisbane Lions
64% 14 points 19.3-0.47
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
61% 12 points 16.8-0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2022