Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
York Park
18.9
117
17.10
112
Hawthorn won by 5 points
IN
Howe
Jiath
Shiels
Mitchell
Scrimshaw
Worpel
Gunston
Maginness
OUT
IN
Fullarton
Adams
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.81 | |
97% | 53 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -3.89 | ||
82% | 31 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.48 | ||
78% | 32 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -1.16 | ||
77% | 23 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -1.12 | ||
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.06 | ||
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -1.04 | ||
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.92 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.84 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.80 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.79 | ||
Punters
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 23.6 | -0.78 | |
71% | 24 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.76 | ||
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 21.8 | -0.73 | ||
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.71 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.71 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.68 | ||
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.66 | ||
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.64 | ||
s10
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.63 | |
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.58 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.54 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.51 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.8 | -0.48 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.47 | ||
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.8 | -0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.