Hawthorn v St Kilda
M.C.G.
10.13
73
22.10
142
St Kilda won by 69 points
IN
Impey
Howe
Wingard
Maginness
OUT
IN
Windhager
Long
Higgins
Hayes
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 68.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 61.5 | 0.22 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 65.7 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 65.8 | 0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 66.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 67.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 65.7 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 68.0 | 0.04 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 67.9 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 68.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 69.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 71.2 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 72.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 78.2 | -0.29 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 76.5 | -0.30 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.